Counter-Strike: Acend vs Sharks (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group A

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Active sub-markets

Market context

The underlying event is the Counter-Strike 2 upper bracket final between Acend and Sharks in the Super DraculaN Group A, a Best-of-3 series scheduled for 11:00 AM ET on 25 June 2026. Current crowd-implied probability sits at 0% for the "YES" outcome, suggesting the market views the match as either highly unlikely to occur or heavily skewed against the specified resolution condition.

Historical precedents in esports prediction markets, such as the 2024 cancellation of the IEM Katowice Group A finals, show that zero-percentage probabilities often reflect administrative uncertainty rather than pure competitive imbalance. In those cases, markets resolved to 50-50 when matches were not played, mirroring the current settlement clause for cancellations or ties. This pattern indicates traders should interpret the 0% figure as a signal of potential non-play rather than a definitive prediction of one team’s defeat.

Key catalysts include official tournament announcements confirming the match’s start time and any roster changes for either team. A recent Liquipedia update on the Super DraculaN Season 1 bracket confirms the match remains listed as scheduled, though no live stream has been initiated yet [3]. Traders must monitor German GlüStV compliance rules, which may restrict access for residents, alongside US CFTC reach that could affect contract validity. The "no-KYC up to $1,500" provision enhances accessibility for this market, allowing smaller participants to engage without identity verification, provided they stay within the threshold.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews Counter-Strike: Acend vs Sharks (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group A across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.