Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
50% | 50% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
50% | 50% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Map 1 Winner | 50% Game Hunters | 50% Vexa |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% Game Hunters | 0% Vexa |
| Match Winner | 100% Game Hunters | 0% Vexa |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Map Handicap: GH (-1.5) vs Vexa (+1.5) | 0% Game Hunters | 100% Vexa |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 50% Over | 50% Under |
Market context
The underlying event is a single Counter-Strike 2 round-one match between Game Hunters and Vexa, scheduled for 16:00 UTC on 27 June 2026 within the CCT South America Series 3 Group Stage, where the market currently prices a 50% chance for Game Hunters to win. This fixture is part of the broader CCT Season 3 South American circuit, a B-Tier Valve Tier 2 tournament organised by GAM3RS_X, with live scoring and stream details available on platforms like Sofascore and Dust2.us[2][3].
Historical precedents in regional CS2 tournaments show that 50% crowd-implied probabilities often reflect genuine uncertainty in lower-tier South American matchups, where team form fluctuates rapidly and roster stability is less consistent than in top-tier European events; similar volatility was observed in CCT Series 1 and 2 group stages, where early-round outcomes frequently defied pre-match odds due to unannounced player substitutions or tactical shifts[1][6]. Traders should monitor official CCT announcements for any roster changes, match-time confirmations, or stream delays, as these dependencies can materially alter the probability landscape before the settlement window closes on 27 June 2026 at 22:30 UTC[4].
Regulatory framing for this market includes German GlüStV implications for online gambling, US CFTC reach over prediction contracts, and the practical accessibility of “no-KYC up to $1,500” for users in jurisdictions with lighter compliance burdens; this threshold allows casual participants to engage without full identity verification, though it does not exempt the platform from anti-money laundering obligations. Recent coverage from GosuGamers confirms the match is live and scheduled, with no indication of cancellation or delay as of the current time[4].
Methodology
This page reviews Counter-Strike: Game Hunters vs Vexa (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Group Stage across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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