Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Game 1 Winner | 100% Power Rangers | 0% Yellow Submarine |
| Game 2 Winner | 0% Power Rangers | 100% Yellow Submarine |
| Match Winner | 0% Power Rangers | 100% Yellow Submarine |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Game Handicap: YeS (-1.5) vs Power Rangers (+1.5) | 0% Yellow Submarine | 100% Power Rangers |
| Ends in Daytime | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
The underlying event is a Lower bracket quarterfinal 1 Dota 2 match between Power Rangers and Yellow Submarine at The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs, scheduled for 10:00 AM ET on 27 June 2026. Power Rangers currently lead the live score 1–2 in games, with the second map underway and trailing 3–4 in kills[1].
Historical precedents for near-100% crowd-implied probabilities in esports qualifiers often collapse when underperforming teams secure late-game comebacks, as seen when Yellow Submarine previously defeated L1GA TEAM 2–0 after two late rescues despite a 0% win rate over the last three months[6][8]. Such volatility suggests the current certainty may be overstated if Yellow Submarine replicates their comeback pattern, a risk traders should weigh against the team’s poor recent form[6].
Key catalysts include the final outcome of the ongoing second map and any official schedule adjustments from the tournament organiser, with live verification expected from DLTV and Gamers World post-match[2]. Regulatory accessibility hinges on German GlüStV provisions allowing no-KYC transactions up to €1,500 and US CFTC reach, which together permit this market’s participation without identity checks for smaller stakes, though larger bets may trigger compliance reviews[2]. Traders must monitor map 2’s kill differential and final result, as a single game swing could invalidate the 100% YES framing[1].
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - Th… on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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