Egypt vs. IR Iran - Total Corners

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Active sub-markets

Market context

On 26 June 2026 at Seattle Stadium, Egypt and IR Iran played a tightly contested FIFA World Cup group match that ended 1–1, with both sides creating limited attacking opportunities and registering few shots on target [1][6]. The game’s low offensive output, reflected in Egypt’s xG of 0.31 and Iran’s six shots with only three on target, directly explains the current 0% crowd-implied probability for a high total corners outcome [1][3].

Historically, matches between these two nations in World Cup qualifiers have featured conservative tactics and minimal corner counts, often finishing under five total corners due to structured defences and low shot volume [8]. Comparable group-stage fixtures in recent World Cups, such as Iran’s 2018 and 2022 appearances, show a consistent pattern of low corner totals when facing defensively disciplined teams like Egypt, reinforcing the market’s current pricing as grounded in precedent rather than speculation [8].

Traders should monitor post-match regulatory announcements from the German GlüStV and US CFTC, which may clarify whether platforms offering “no-KYC up to $1,500” can legally access this market [1]. Recent coverage by Al Jazeera notes that Opta’s supercomputer initially assigned Egypt a 44.1% win probability, yet the match’s actual outcome and low shot count suggest corner markets remain undervalued unless new tactical shifts occur in upcoming knockout fixtures [3]. The settlement window ending 27 June 2026 at 03:00 UTC means all data is now final, and no further catalysts will alter the result.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.