Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Is Kalshi Legal in California) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
74% | 26% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
74% | 26% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 47.5 | 74% |
| O/U 41.5 | 73% |
| O/U 49.5 | 72% |
| O/U 53.5 | 66% |
| O/U 39.5 | 65% |
| O/U 43.5 | 65% |
| O/U 57.5 | 64% |
| O/U 59.5 | 58% |
| O/U 61.5 | 52% |
| Spread -2.5 | 51% |
| Spread -4.5 | 51% |
| Bucknell 1H O/U 15.5 | 51% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| O/U 37.5 | 50% |
| O/U 45.5 | 50% |
| O/U 51.5 | 50% |
| O/U 55.5 | 50% |
| O/U 63.5 | 50% |
| O/U 67.5 | 50% |
| O/U 73.5 | 50% |
| O/U 75.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Bucknell O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Bucknell O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Bucknell O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Bucknell O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Bucknell O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Bucknell 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Bucknell 1H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh 1H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Bucknell 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Bucknell 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Bucknell 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Bucknell vs. Pittsburgh: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Bucknell vs. Pittsburgh: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Bucknell vs. Pittsburgh: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Bucknell Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Bucknell Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Bucknell Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Bucknell Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Bucknell Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Bucknell Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Bucknell Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Bucknell Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Bucknell Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Bucknell Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Bucknell Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Bucknell Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Bucknell 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Bucknell 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Bucknell Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Bucknell Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Bucknell Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Bucknell Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Bucknell Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Bucknell Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Bucknell Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Bucknell Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Bucknell Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Bucknell vs. Pittsburgh: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Bucknell vs. Pittsburgh: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Bucknell vs. Pittsburgh: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -20.5 | 49% |
| Spread -17.5 | 49% |
| Spread -14.5 | 49% |
| Spread -6.5 | 49% |
| Spread -5.5 | 49% |
| Spread -4.5 | 49% |
| Spread -2.5 | 49% |
| Spread -1.5 | 49% |
| Spread -13.5 | 48% |
| Spread -10.5 | 48% |
| Spread -8.5 | 48% |
| Spread -7.5 | 48% |
| Spread -16.5 | 47% |
| Spread -3.5 | 47% |
| O/U 65.5 | 44% |
| O/U 71.5 | 40% |
| O/U 69.5 | 32% |
| Bucknell vs. Pittsburgh | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 74% chance of bucknell vs. pittsburgh. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game between Bucknell and Pittsburgh, scheduled for September 26 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Bucknell" if Bucknell win the game. Th…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $73K.
Methodology
This overview of Bucknell vs. Pittsburgh reviews the four comparable platforms from a regulatory perspective: which is accessible in your jurisdiction, where KYC kicks in, how the platform is classified by your country of residence. Live probability is the Polymarket mid; comparison columns show regulatory status, KYC thresholds and settlement options for each platform.
Resolution & payout
On Polymarket, resolution runs on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. USDC payout is instant and automatic, with no KYC. Tax treatment depends on your jurisdiction — in the US, gains are usually ordinary income; in the UK, often capital gains. Consult a tax professional for your situation.
FAQ
- Is Polymarket legal in my country?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Actual usage via the Polymarket interface is not possible there. The legal status itself varies — many countries treat prediction markets as a gray area. Is Kalshi Legal in California has a different geo footprint.
- How are winnings taxed?
- Tax treatment varies by jurisdiction. In most countries, prediction market gains are treated as ordinary income or capital gains. We cannot provide tax advice — consult a tax professional for your specific situation.
- Can I trade anonymously?
- Pseudonymously, yes — up to the KYC threshold. Is Kalshi Legal in California stores an email address and wallet addresses rather than a legal name. Over $1,500 lifetime volume triggers KYC, after which identity is no longer anonymous.
- Are prediction markets gambling?
- Legally unclear in most jurisdictions. Some interpretations classify them as wagering (gambling regulation applies), others as derivatives (financial regulation applies). There's no global precedent specifically for on-chain prediction markets.
- Is there a withdrawal cap?
- No platform-side cap. You can withdraw any amount provided KYC is complete. SEPA bank withdrawals over €15,000 trigger additional anti-money-laundering checks (statutory obligation for all platforms).
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