Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Is Kalshi Legal in California) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 35.5 | 100% |
| O/U 37.5 | 100% |
| O/U 39.5 | 100% |
| O/U 41.5 | 100% |
| O/U 43.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Missouri State O/U 20.5 | 100% |
| Delaware O/U 23.5 | 100% |
| Missouri State 1H O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| Missouri State 1H O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Delaware 1H O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| Delaware 1H O/U 14.5 | 100% |
| Delaware 1H O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 100% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 49.5 | 99% |
| O/U 51.5 | 99% |
| O/U 53.5 | 99% |
| O/U 55.5 | 98% |
| O/U 61.5 | 98% |
| Missouri State O/U 23.5 | 98% |
| 1H Moneyline | 96% |
| O/U 59.5 | 92% |
| O/U 67.5 | 92% |
| O/U 57.5 | 91% |
| Missouri State 1H O/U 15.5 | 91% |
| O/U 47.5 | 88% |
| O/U 63.5 | 81% |
| O/U 65.5 | 79% |
| O/U 73.5 | 76% |
| O/U 69.5 | 75% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 75% |
| O/U 71.5 | 73% |
| O/U 75.5 | 63% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 51% |
| Missouri State vs. Delaware | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| O/U 45.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Missouri State O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Missouri State O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Missouri State O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Delaware O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Delaware O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Delaware O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Delaware O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Missouri State 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Missouri State 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Missouri State 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Delaware 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Delaware 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Delaware 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Missouri State vs. Delaware: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Missouri State vs. Delaware: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Missouri State vs. Delaware: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Missouri State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Delaware Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Delaware Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Missouri State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Missouri State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Missouri State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Missouri State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Delaware Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Missouri State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Missouri State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Missouri State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Delaware Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Delaware Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Delaware Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Delaware Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Missouri State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Delaware Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Missouri State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Missouri State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Delaware Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Delaware Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Delaware Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Missouri State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Missouri State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Delaware 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Missouri State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Delaware 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Missouri State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Missouri State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Delaware Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Delaware Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Delaware Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Missouri State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Missouri State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Missouri State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Delaware Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Delaware Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Delaware Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Missouri State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Missouri State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Missouri State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Delaware Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Delaware Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Missouri State vs. Delaware: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Delaware Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Missouri State vs. Delaware: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Missouri State vs. Delaware: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Delaware O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Missouri State O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Missouri State O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| Spread -1.5 | 49% |
| Delaware Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 49% |
| Missouri State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 49% |
| Spread -1.5 | 45% |
| Spread -2.5 | 45% |
| Spread -2.5 | 43% |
| Spread -3.5 | 36% |
| Spread -3.5 | 35% |
| Spread -8.5 | 34% |
| Spread -4.5 | 31% |
| Spread -4.5 | 30% |
| Spread -5.5 | 29% |
| Spread -5.5 | 28% |
| Spread -6.5 | 25% |
| Spread -8.5 | 24% |
| Spread -6.5 | 24% |
| Spread -7.5 | 20% |
| Spread -7.5 | 19% |
| Spread -10.5 | 15% |
| Spread -10.5 | 13% |
| Spread -13.5 | 11% |
| Spread -13.5 | 9% |
| Spread -14.5 | 9% |
| Spread -20.5 | 8% |
| Spread -16.5 | 8% |
| Spread -14.5 | 7% |
| Spread -17.5 | 6% |
| Spread -16.5 | 6% |
| Spread -17.5 | 6% |
| Spread -20.5 | 5% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 4% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 2% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 2% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of missouri state vs. delaware. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game between Missouri State and Delaware, scheduled for October 20 at 7:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Missouri State" if Missouri State win…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $588K.
Methodology
This overview of Missouri State vs. Delaware reviews the four comparable platforms from a regulatory perspective: which is accessible in your jurisdiction, where KYC kicks in, how the platform is classified by your country of residence. Live probability is the Polymarket mid; comparison columns show regulatory status, KYC thresholds and settlement options for each platform.
Resolution & payout
On Polymarket, resolution runs on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. USDC payout is instant and automatic, with no KYC. Tax treatment depends on your jurisdiction — in the US, gains are usually ordinary income; in the UK, often capital gains. Consult a tax professional for your situation.
FAQ
- Do I need to KYC for Is Kalshi Legal in California?
- Not for lifetime trading volume under $1,500. Above that threshold, a quick KYC flow kicks in — ID, selfie, approximately 5-10 minutes. The threshold matches FATF travel standards for unregulated crypto platforms.
- How are winnings taxed?
- Tax treatment varies by jurisdiction. In most countries, prediction market gains are treated as ordinary income or capital gains. We cannot provide tax advice — consult a tax professional for your specific situation.
- Are prediction markets gambling?
- Legally unclear in most jurisdictions. Some interpretations classify them as wagering (gambling regulation applies), others as derivatives (financial regulation applies). There's no global precedent specifically for on-chain prediction markets.
- Is there a withdrawal cap?
- No platform-side cap. You can withdraw any amount provided KYC is complete. SEPA bank withdrawals over €15,000 trigger additional anti-money-laundering checks (statutory obligation for all platforms).
- What if regulation changes?
- If regulation changes in your jurisdiction (e.g. prediction markets are banned), Is Kalshi Legal in California would geo-block the affected region and continue processing withdrawals. Your funds remain withdrawable at any time.
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