Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Is Kalshi Legal in California) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
95% | 5% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
95% | 5% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 37.5 | 95% |
| O/U 35.5 | 92% |
| O/U 39.5 | 92% |
| O/U 41.5 | 89% |
| O/U 43.5 | 87% |
| O/U 45.5 | 82% |
| San Diego State O/U 20.5 | 82% |
| O/U 47.5 | 80% |
| O/U 49.5 | 76% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 76% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 75% |
| San Diego State O/U 23.5 | 75% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 74% |
| Colorado State O/U 23.5 | 74% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 73% |
| O/U 51.5 | 71% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 71% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 69% |
| O/U 53.5 | 68% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 68% |
| San Diego State 1H O/U 11.5 | 67% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 66% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 63% |
| O/U 55.5 | 62% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 62% |
| San Diego State O/U 26.5 | 61% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 60% |
| O/U 57.5 | 58% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 56% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 55% |
| San Diego State O/U 29.5 | 55% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 54% |
| O/U 59.5 | 53% |
| Colorado State O/U 29.5 | 53% |
| San Diego State vs. Colorado State | 52% |
| Spread -0.5 | 52% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 52% |
| Colorado State O/U 26.5 | 52% |
| 1H Moneyline | 52% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 51% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 51% |
| San Diego State 1H O/U 15.5 | 51% |
| San Diego State 2H O/U 11.5 | 51% |
| San Diego State 2H O/U 13.5 | 51% |
| Colorado State 2H O/U 12.5 | 51% |
| Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Colorado State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State vs. Colorado State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| San Diego State vs. Colorado State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 49% |
| San Diego State 1H O/U 13.5 | 49% |
| Spread -0.5 | 48% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 48% |
| Colorado State 1H O/U 14.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 48% |
| Spread -2.5 | 47% |
| Spread -1.5 | 47% |
| San Diego State 2H O/U 15.5 | 47% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 47% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 47% |
| O/U 61.5 | 46% |
| San Diego State vs. Colorado State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 46% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 46% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 45% |
| Colorado State 2H O/U 14.5 | 45% |
| Colorado State 2H O/U 16.5 | 45% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 45% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 45% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 45% |
| Spread -2.5 | 44% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 44% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 44% |
| San Diego State O/U 32.5 | 43% |
| San Diego State vs. Colorado State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 43% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 43% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 43% |
| Colorado State O/U 32.5 | 42% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 42% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 42% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 42% |
| San Diego State O/U 3.5 | 42% |
| Colorado State O/U 3.5 | 42% |
| Spread -3.5 | 41% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 41% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 41% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 41% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 41% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 41% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 41% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 41% |
| O/U 63.5 | 40% |
| Colorado State 1H O/U 16.5 | 40% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 40% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 39% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 39% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 39% |
| Spread -4.5 | 38% |
| O/U 65.5 | 38% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 38% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 38% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 38% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 38% |
| Spread -3.5 | 37% |
| Spread -5.5 | 36% |
| San Diego State vs. Colorado State: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 36% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 36% |
| Spread -4.5 | 35% |
| Colorado State O/U 35.5 | 35% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 35% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 35% |
| Spread -5.5 | 34% |
| O/U 67.5 | 34% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 34% |
| Spread -6.5 | 33% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 33% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 32% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 32% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 32% |
| San Diego State O/U 4.5 | 32% |
| Spread -6.5 | 31% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 31% |
| O/U 69.5 | 29% |
| Spread -7.5 | 28% |
| San Diego State vs. Colorado State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 28% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 27% |
| Colorado State O/U 4.5 | 27% |
| Spread -8.5 | 26% |
| Spread -7.5 | 26% |
| O/U 71.5 | 26% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 25% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 25% |
| Spread -10.5 | 24% |
| Spread -8.5 | 24% |
| Spread -10.5 | 21% |
| O/U 73.5 | 21% |
| Spread -13.5 | 19% |
| Spread -13.5 | 18% |
| O/U 75.5 | 18% |
| Spread -14.5 | 16% |
| Spread -16.5 | 15% |
| Spread -14.5 | 15% |
| Spread -16.5 | 14% |
| Spread -17.5 | 13% |
| Spread -17.5 | 12% |
| Spread -20.5 | 11% |
| Spread -20.5 | 7% |
Market context
Market consensus: 95% chance of san diego state vs. colorado state. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game between San Diego State and Colorado State, scheduled for October 24 at 6:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Diego State" if San Diego …
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $79K.
Methodology
This overview of San Diego State vs. Colorado State reviews the four comparable platforms from a regulatory perspective: which is accessible in your jurisdiction, where KYC kicks in, how the platform is classified by your country of residence. Live probability is the Polymarket mid; comparison columns show regulatory status, KYC thresholds and settlement options for each platform.
Resolution & payout
On Polymarket, resolution runs on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. USDC payout is instant and automatic, with no KYC. Tax treatment depends on your jurisdiction — in the US, gains are usually ordinary income; in the UK, often capital gains. Consult a tax professional for your situation.
FAQ
- Do I need to KYC for Is Kalshi Legal in California?
- Not for lifetime trading volume under $1,500. Above that threshold, a quick KYC flow kicks in — ID, selfie, approximately 5-10 minutes. The threshold matches FATF travel standards for unregulated crypto platforms.
- How are winnings taxed?
- Tax treatment varies by jurisdiction. In most countries, prediction market gains are treated as ordinary income or capital gains. We cannot provide tax advice — consult a tax professional for your specific situation.
- Can I trade anonymously?
- Pseudonymously, yes — up to the KYC threshold. Is Kalshi Legal in California stores an email address and wallet addresses rather than a legal name. Over $1,500 lifetime volume triggers KYC, after which identity is no longer anonymous.
- What happens during a tax audit?
- You're responsible for documenting your trades. Is Kalshi Legal in California exports a full transaction history (CSV/PDF) for tax reporting. In an audit you'll need to present these documents.
- Is there a withdrawal cap?
- No platform-side cap. You can withdraw any amount provided KYC is complete. SEPA bank withdrawals over €15,000 trigger additional anti-money-laundering checks (statutory obligation for all platforms).
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