Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Is Kalshi Legal in California) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Go to the live market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Go to the live market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Go to the live market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Go to the live market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Go to the live market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1Q O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| 1Q O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| O/U 34.5 | 93% |
| O/U 40.5 | 81% |
| O/U 28.5 | 79% |
| O/U 30.5 | 79% |
| O/U 32.5 | 79% |
| O/U 36.5 | 78% |
| O/U 38.5 | 78% |
| O/U 46.5 | 76% |
| O/U 42.5 | 74% |
| O/U 44.5 | 72% |
| Troy O/U 20.5 | 72% |
| Utah State O/U 25.5 | 70% |
| O/U 48.5 | 67% |
| O/U 50.5 | 64% |
| O/U 58.5 | 54% |
| O/U 52.5 | 53% |
| 1H O/U 23.5 | 51% |
| Troy O/U 23.5 | 51% |
| Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| Spread -18.5 | 50% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| Spread -24.5 | 50% |
| O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Troy O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Troy O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Troy O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Utah State O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| Utah State O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| Utah State O/U 31.5 | 50% |
| Troy 1H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Troy 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Troy 1H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Utah State 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Utah State 1H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Utah State 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Troy 2H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Troy 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Troy 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Utah State 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Utah State 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Utah State 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Troy O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Utah State O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Troy vs. Utah State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Troy vs. Utah State: Total Touchdowns O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Troy vs. Utah State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Troy Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Utah State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Troy Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Troy Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Utah State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Troy Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Utah State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Troy Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Troy Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Troy Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Utah State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Utah State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Troy Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Utah State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Troy Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Utah State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Utah State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Utah State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Troy Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Troy Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Utah State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Utah State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Troy Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Utah State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Troy 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Troy 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Troy Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Utah State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Utah State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Troy Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Troy Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Utah State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Utah State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Utah State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Troy Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Troy Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Troy Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Utah State Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Utah State Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Utah State Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Troy Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Troy Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Utah State Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Utah State Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Troy vs. Utah State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Troy Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Utah State Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Troy vs. Utah State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Troy vs. Utah State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Utah State O/U 19.5 | 49% |
| Troy vs. Utah State | 48% |
| Spread -1.5 | 48% |
| Spread -1.5 | 47% |
| Spread -2.5 | 46% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 46% |
| O/U 56.5 | 44% |
| Spread -7.5 | 43% |
| O/U 60.5 | 42% |
| O/U 64.5 | 41% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 40% |
| Spread -3.5 | 39% |
| Spread -8.5 | 39% |
| Spread -6.5 | 37% |
| O/U 62.5 | 37% |
| Spread -2.5 | 36% |
| Spread -4.5 | 36% |
| Spread -4.5 | 34% |
| Spread -12.5 | 34% |
| O/U 66.5 | 34% |
| Spread -5.5 | 33% |
| Spread -6.5 | 33% |
| O/U 68.5 | 33% |
| Spread -9.5 | 31% |
| Spread -9.5 | 30% |
| Spread -10.5 | 30% |
| Spread -10.5 | 28% |
| Spread -3.5 | 28% |
| Spread -14.5 | 28% |
| Spread -11.5 | 24% |
| Spread -13.5 | 17% |
| Spread -16.5 | 16% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of troy vs. utah state. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game between Troy and Utah State, scheduled for September 26 at 7:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Troy" if Troy win the game. This market wil…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $187K.
Methodology
This overview of Troy vs. Utah State reviews the four comparable platforms from a regulatory perspective: which is accessible in your jurisdiction, where KYC kicks in, how the platform is classified by your country of residence. Live probability is the Polymarket mid; comparison columns show regulatory status, KYC thresholds and settlement options for each platform.
Resolution & payout
On Polymarket, resolution runs on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. USDC payout is instant and automatic, with no KYC. Tax treatment depends on your jurisdiction — in the US, gains are usually ordinary income; in the UK, often capital gains. Consult a tax professional for your situation.
FAQ
- Is Polymarket legal in my country?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Actual usage via the Polymarket interface is not possible there. The legal status itself varies — many countries treat prediction markets as a gray area. Is Kalshi Legal in California has a different geo footprint.
- Do I need to KYC for Is Kalshi Legal in California?
- Not for lifetime trading volume under $1,500. Above that threshold, a quick KYC flow kicks in — ID, selfie, approximately 5-10 minutes. The threshold matches FATF travel standards for unregulated crypto platforms.
- How are winnings taxed?
- Tax treatment varies by jurisdiction. In most countries, prediction market gains are treated as ordinary income or capital gains. We cannot provide tax advice — consult a tax professional for your specific situation.
- Can I trade anonymously?
- Pseudonymously, yes — up to the KYC threshold. Is Kalshi Legal in California stores an email address and wallet addresses rather than a legal name. Over $1,500 lifetime volume triggers KYC, after which identity is no longer anonymous.
- What if regulation changes?
- If regulation changes in your jurisdiction (e.g. prediction markets are banned), Is Kalshi Legal in California would geo-block the affected region and continue processing withdrawals. Your funds remain withdrawable at any time.
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