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Spain vs. Austria - Player Props

"Spain vs. Austria - Player Props" on Polymarket, Kalshi and Is Kalshi Legal in California — what traders need to know about platform choice, KYC and tax law.

Lamine Yamal: 1+ shots 96% Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ shots 88% Dani Olmo: 1+ shots 76% Alex Baena: 1+ shots 75% Volume: $234K Liquidity: $1.8M Closes: 2 Jul 2026
Open live market →
Spain vs. Austria - Player Props

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Is Kalshi Legal in California) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
96% 4% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
96% 4% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Lamine Yamal: 1+ shots96%
Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ shots88%
Dani Olmo: 1+ shots76%
Alex Baena: 1+ shots75%
Mikel Oyarzabal: 2+ shots66%
Marko Arnautovic: 1+ shots64%
Rodri: 1+ shots60%
Marcel Sabitzer: 1+ shots57%
Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goals + assists56%
Pedri: 1+ shots55%
Nico Williams: 1+ goals + assists51%
Alex Baena: 3+ shots on target49%
Patrick Pentz: 3+ saves49%
Unai Simón: 3+ saves49%
Lamine Yamal: 3+ goals + assists49%
Mikel Oyarzabal: 2+ goals + assists49%
Lamine Yamal: 2+ shots49%
Pedro Porro: 2+ shots on target48%
Unai Simón: 4+ saves48%
Unai Simón: 5+ saves48%
Dani Olmo: 3+ goals + assists48%
Lamine Yamal: 2+ goals + assists48%
Mikel Oyarzabal: 3+ goals + assists48%
Nico Williams: 3+ goals + assists48%
Saša Kalajdžić: 2+ goals48%
Carney Chukwuemeka: 3+ shots48%
Carney Chukwuemeka: 4+ shots48%
Konrad Laimer: 2+ goals48%
Michael Gregoritsch: 2+ goals48%
Konrad Laimer: 2+ shots48%
Paul Wanner: 3+ shots48%
Romano Schmid: 2+ goals + assists48%
Romano Schmid: 3+ goals + assists48%
Romano Schmid: 4+ goals + assists48%
Michael Gregoritsch: 3+ shots48%
Michael Gregoritsch: 5+ shots48%
Romano Schmid: 2+ assists48%
Alex Baena: 4+ shots on target48%
Lamine Yamal: 4+ shots on target48%
Michael Gregoritsch: 1+ shots on target48%
Michael Gregoritsch: 2+ shots on target48%
Mikel Oyarzabal: 4+ shots on target48%
Nico Williams: 4+ shots on target48%
Paul Wanner: 1+ shots on target48%
Paul Wanner: 2+ shots on target48%
Pedri: 3+ shots on target48%
Saša Kalajdžić: 1+ shots on target48%
Saša Kalajdžić: 2+ shots on target48%
Saša Kalajdžić: 3+ shots on target48%
Konrad Laimer: 2+ goals + assists48%
Konrad Laimer: 3+ goals + assists48%
Konrad Laimer: 4+ goals + assists48%
Paul Wanner: 1+ goals + assists48%
Paul Wanner: 2+ goals + assists48%
Paul Wanner: 3+ goals + assists48%
Paul Wanner: 4+ goals + assists48%
Carney Chukwuemeka: 1+ goals48%
Michael Gregoritsch: 4+ shots48%
Carney Chukwuemeka: 1+ shots on target48%
Carney Chukwuemeka: 2+ shots on target48%
Dani Olmo: 4+ shots on target48%
Konrad Laimer: 2+ shots on target48%
Marko Arnautovic: 3+ shots on target48%
Romano Schmid: 2+ shots on target48%
Saša Kalajdžić: 4+ shots48%
Saša Kalajdžić: 5+ shots48%
Paul Wanner: 1+ assists48%
Paul Wanner: 2+ assists48%
Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goals47%
Patrick Pentz: 4+ saves47%
Dani Olmo: 2+ goals + assists47%
Marcel Sabitzer: 3+ goals + assists47%
Marko Arnautovic: 3+ goals + assists47%
Nico Williams: 2+ goals + assists47%
Pedri: 3+ goals + assists47%
Pedro Porro: 3+ goals + assists47%
Rodri: 3+ goals + assists47%
Patrick Pentz: 2+ saves46%
Nico Williams: 3+ shots on target44%
Patrick Pentz: 5+ saves44%
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals + assists44%
Konrad Laimer: 3+ shots44%
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals43%
Lamine Yamal: 3+ shots43%
Nico Williams: 2+ shots on target42%
Lamine Yamal: 1+ shots on target41%
Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ shots on target41%
Nico Williams: 1+ shots on target41%
Alex Baena: 2+ shots40%
Pedri: 4+ goals + assists39%
Saša Kalajdžić: 1+ shots39%
Pedro Porro: 1+ shots36%
Lamine Yamal: 1+ assists36%
Mikel Oyarzabal: 2+ shots on target36%
Mikel Oyarzabal: 3+ shots36%
Dani Olmo: 1+ shots on target34%
Unai Simón: 2+ saves34%
Romano Schmid: 1+ shots34%
Michael Gregoritsch: 1+ shots33%
Alex Baena: 1+ shots on target31%
Marko Arnautovic: 2+ shots28%
Alex Baena: 1+ goals + assists28%
Marko Arnautovic: 4+ goals + assists28%
Lamine Yamal: 4+ shots28%
Rodri: 2+ shots26%
Dani Olmo: 1+ goals25%
Konrad Laimer: 1+ shots25%
Paul Wanner: 1+ shots25%
Carney Chukwuemeka: 1+ shots25%
Marcel Sabitzer: 2+ shots24%
Lamine Yamal: 2+ shots on target24%
Alex Baena: 4+ goals + assists24%
Lamine Yamal: 5+ shots24%
Mikel Oyarzabal: 4+ shots24%
Dani Olmo: 1+ goals + assists23%
Alex Baena: 3+ shots23%
Dani Olmo: 3+ shots23%
Dani Olmo: 2+ shots22%
Pedri: 2+ shots22%
Pedri: 1+ assists22%
Mikel Oyarzabal: 5+ shots22%
Dani Olmo: 4+ shots21%
Dani Olmo: 1+ assists20%
Alex Baena: 1+ goals20%
Pedri: 1+ goals + assists20%
Michael Gregoritsch: 2+ shots20%
Saša Kalajdžić: 2+ shots20%
Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ assists19%
Pedri: 1+ shots on target19%
Pedro Porro: 1+ goals + assists19%
Pedro Porro: 2+ goals + assists19%
Dani Olmo: 5+ shots19%
Alex Baena: 2+ goals + assists18%
Marcel Sabitzer: 2+ goals + assists18%
Marko Arnautovic: 2+ goals + assists18%
Pedri: 2+ goals + assists18%
Romano Schmid: 2+ shots18%
Alex Baena: 4+ shots18%
Alex Baena: 1+ assists17%
Alex Baena: 3+ goals + assists17%
Rodri: 2+ goals + assists17%
Romano Schmid: 1+ shots on target16%
Marko Arnautovic: 1+ goals15%
Rodri: 1+ shots on target15%
Marko Arnautovic: 1+ goals + assists15%
Paul Wanner: 2+ shots15%
Carney Chukwuemeka: 2+ shots15%
Konrad Laimer: 1+ shots on target15%
Mikel Oyarzabal: 2+ goals14%
Rodri: 1+ assists14%
Alex Baena: 2+ shots on target14%
Dani Olmo: 2+ shots on target14%
Marko Arnautovic: 1+ shots on target14%
Mikel Oyarzabal: 3+ shots on target14%
Rodri: 2+ shots on target14%
Romano Schmid: 1+ goals + assists14%
Marko Arnautovic: 3+ shots14%
Alex Baena: 5+ shots14%
Saša Kalajdžić: 3+ shots14%
Rodri: 1+ goals + assists13%
Konrad Laimer: 2+ assists13%
Lamine Yamal: 2+ goals12%
Pedri: 1+ goals12%
Pedro Porro: 2+ shots12%
Marcel Sabitzer: 1+ goals + assists12%
Lamine Yamal: 3+ shots on target11%
Marcel Sabitzer: 1+ shots on target11%
Marcel Sabitzer: 1+ goals10%
Rodri: 1+ goals10%
Dani Olmo: 3+ shots on target10%
Michael Gregoritsch: 1+ goals10%
Pedri: 3+ shots10%
Rodri: 3+ shots10%
Marcel Sabitzer: 3+ shots10%
Lamine Yamal: 2+ assists9%
Pedro Porro: 1+ assists9%
Marcel Sabitzer: 2+ shots on target9%
Pedro Porro: 1+ shots on target9%
Romano Schmid: 3+ shots9%
Marko Arnautovic: 4+ shots9%
Konrad Laimer: 1+ goals + assists9%
Marcel Sabitzer: 1+ assists8%
Marko Arnautovic: 2+ shots on target8%
Pedri: 2+ shots on target8%
Pedro Porro: 3+ shots8%
Pedri: 4+ shots7%
Marko Arnautovic: 1+ assists6%
Pedro Porro: 4+ shots6%
Rodri: 4+ shots6%
Marcel Sabitzer: 4+ shots6%
Marko Arnautovic: 5+ shots6%
Romano Schmid: 1+ assists6%
Marcel Sabitzer: 5+ shots6%
Alex Baena: 2+ assists5%
Lamine Yamal: 4+ goals + assists5%
Saša Kalajdžić: 1+ goals5%
Konrad Laimer: 1+ goals5%
Romano Schmid: 1+ goals5%
Konrad Laimer: 1+ assists5%
Pedro Porro: 1+ goals4%
Nico Williams: 2+ shots4%
Pedri: 2+ assists4%
Alex Baena: 2+ goals4%
Rodri: 4+ goals + assists4%
Paul Wanner: 1+ goals4%
Lamine Yamal: 3+ goals3%
Nico Williams: 1+ shots3%
Dani Olmo: 2+ assists3%
Marcel Sabitzer: 2+ assists3%
Mikel Oyarzabal: 2+ assists3%
Pedro Porro: 2+ assists3%
Rodri: 2+ assists3%
Dani Olmo: 2+ goals3%
Carney Chukwuemeka: 2+ goals3%
Nico Williams: 3+ shots3%
Nico Williams: 4+ shots3%
Paul Wanner: 2+ goals3%
Romano Schmid: 2+ goals3%
Marko Arnautovic: 2+ goals2%
Mikel Oyarzabal: 3+ goals2%
Nico Williams: 1+ goals2%
Marko Arnautovic: 2+ assists2%
Nico Williams: 1+ assists2%
Nico Williams: 5+ shots2%
Marcel Sabitzer: 2+ goals1%
Marko Arnautovic: 3+ goals1%
Nico Williams: 2+ goals1%
Nico Williams: 3+ goals1%
Pedri: 2+ goals1%
Pedro Porro: 2+ goals1%
Nico Williams: 2+ assists1%
Dani Olmo: 4+ goals + assists1%
Alex Baena: 3+ goals1%
Dani Olmo: 3+ goals1%
Marcel Sabitzer: 4+ goals + assists1%
Mikel Oyarzabal: 4+ goals + assists1%
Nico Williams: 4+ goals + assists1%
Pedro Porro: 4+ goals + assists1%
Rodri: 2+ goals0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 96% probability to spain vs. austria - player props. Player prop markets for the FIFA World Cup game between Spain and Austria, scheduled for July 2 at 3:00 PM ET.

Methodology

This overview of Spain vs. Austria - Player Props reviews the four comparable platforms from a regulatory perspective: which is accessible in your jurisdiction, where KYC kicks in, how the platform is classified by your country of residence. Live probability is the Polymarket mid; comparison columns show regulatory status, KYC thresholds and settlement options for each platform.

Resolution & payout

On Polymarket, resolution runs on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. USDC payout is instant and automatic, with no KYC. Tax treatment depends on your jurisdiction — in the US, gains are usually ordinary income; in the UK, often capital gains. Consult a tax professional for your situation.

FAQ

Is Polymarket legal in my country?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Actual usage via the Polymarket interface is not possible there. The legal status itself varies — many countries treat prediction markets as a gray area. Is Kalshi Legal in California has a different geo footprint.
How are winnings taxed?
Tax treatment varies by jurisdiction. In most countries, prediction market gains are treated as ordinary income or capital gains. We cannot provide tax advice — consult a tax professional for your specific situation.
Can I trade anonymously?
Pseudonymously, yes — up to the KYC threshold. Is Kalshi Legal in California stores an email address and wallet addresses rather than a legal name. Over $1,500 lifetime volume triggers KYC, after which identity is no longer anonymous.
What happens during a tax audit?
You're responsible for documenting your trades. Is Kalshi Legal in California exports a full transaction history (CSV/PDF) for tax reporting. In an audit you'll need to present these documents.
What if regulation changes?
If regulation changes in your jurisdiction (e.g. prediction markets are banned), Is Kalshi Legal in California would geo-block the affected region and continue processing withdrawals. Your funds remain withdrawable at any time.
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