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United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina - Player Props

Regulatory snapshot for "United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina - Player Props": platform geo-block status, KYC thresholds, tax implications.

Folarin Balogun: 1+ goals 100% Folarin Balogun: 1+ shots 100% Folarin Balogun: 2+ shots 99% Folarin Balogun: 4+ shots 99% Volume: $497K Liquidity: $197K Closes: 2 Jul 2026
Open live market →
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina - Player Props

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Is Kalshi Legal in California) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Folarin Balogun: 1+ goals100%
Folarin Balogun: 1+ shots100%
Folarin Balogun: 2+ shots99%
Folarin Balogun: 4+ shots99%
Folarin Balogun: 3+ shots90%
Folarin Balogun: 1+ goals + assists53%
Christian Pulisic: 4+ shots52%
Weston McKennie: 1+ goals + assists52%
Edin Džeko: 1+ goals + assists52%
Folarin Balogun: 1+ shots on target51%
Alejandro Zendejas: 4+ shots50%
Alejandro Zendejas: 5+ shots50%
Brenden Aaronson: 1+ shots50%
Brenden Aaronson: 2+ shots50%
Brenden Aaronson: 3+ shots50%
Brenden Aaronson: 4+ shots50%
Brenden Aaronson: 5+ shots50%
Gio Reyna: 1+ shots50%
Gio Reyna: 2+ shots50%
Gio Reyna: 3+ shots50%
Gio Reyna: 4+ shots50%
Gio Reyna: 5+ shots50%
Haji Wright: 1+ shots50%
Haji Wright: 2+ shots50%
Haji Wright: 5+ shots50%
Kerim Alajbegović: 1+ shots50%
Kerim Alajbegović: 2+ shots50%
Kerim Alajbegović: 4+ shots50%
Ricardo Pepi: 1+ shots50%
Ricardo Pepi: 2+ shots50%
Ricardo Pepi: 3+ shots50%
Kerim Alajbegović: 5+ shots50%
Alejandro Zendejas: 1+ shots on target50%
Alejandro Zendejas: 2+ shots on target50%
Alejandro Zendejas: 3+ shots on target50%
Folarin Balogun: 2+ shots on target50%
Folarin Balogun: 3+ shots on target50%
Folarin Balogun: 4+ shots on target50%
Gio Reyna: 1+ shots on target50%
Gio Reyna: 2+ shots on target50%
Gio Reyna: 3+ shots on target50%
Haji Wright: 1+ shots on target50%
Haji Wright: 2+ shots on target50%
Haji Wright: 3+ shots on target50%
Haji Wright: 4+ shots on target50%
Kerim Alajbegović: 1+ shots on target50%
Kerim Alajbegović: 2+ shots on target50%
Kerim Alajbegović: 3+ shots on target50%
Ricardo Pepi: 1+ shots on target50%
Ricardo Pepi: 2+ shots on target50%
Brenden Aaronson: 1+ shots on target50%
Brenden Aaronson: 2+ shots on target50%
Brenden Aaronson: 3+ shots on target50%
Christian Pulisic: 1+ shots on target50%
Christian Pulisic: 2+ shots on target50%
Christian Pulisic: 3+ shots on target50%
Christian Pulisic: 4+ shots on target50%
Tim Weah: 1+ shots on target50%
Tim Weah: 2+ shots on target50%
Tim Weah: 3+ shots on target50%
Alejandro Zendejas: 1+ shots50%
Alejandro Zendejas: 2+ shots50%
Alejandro Zendejas: 3+ shots50%
Ricardo Pepi: 4+ shots50%
Ricardo Pepi: 5+ shots50%
Sebastian Berhalter: 1+ shots50%
Sebastian Berhalter: 2+ shots50%
Sebastian Berhalter: 3+ shots50%
Sebastian Berhalter: 4+ shots50%
Sebastian Berhalter: 5+ shots50%
Tim Weah: 1+ shots50%
Tim Weah: 2+ shots50%
Tim Weah: 3+ shots50%
Tim Weah: 4+ shots50%
Tim Weah: 5+ shots50%
Ricardo Pepi: 3+ shots on target50%
Ricardo Pepi: 4+ shots on target50%
Sebastian Berhalter: 1+ shots on target50%
Sebastian Berhalter: 2+ shots on target50%
Sebastian Berhalter: 3+ shots on target50%
Christian Pulisic: 5+ shots50%
Malik Tillman: 3+ shots on target50%
Christian Pulisic: 2+ shots50%
Christian Pulisic: 3+ shots50%
Folarin Balogun: 5+ shots50%
Weston McKennie: 5+ shots50%
Weston McKennie: 3+ shots on target50%
Weston McKennie: 2+ goals + assists50%
Weston McKennie: 3+ goals + assists50%
Gio Reyna: 1+ goals + assists50%
Gio Reyna: 2+ goals + assists50%
Gio Reyna: 3+ goals + assists50%
Haji Wright: 1+ goals + assists50%
Haji Wright: 2+ goals + assists50%
Haji Wright: 3+ goals + assists50%
Malik Tillman: 1+ goals + assists50%
Malik Tillman: 2+ goals + assists50%
Malik Tillman: 3+ goals + assists50%
Ricardo Pepi: 1+ goals + assists50%
Ricardo Pepi: 2+ goals + assists50%
Ricardo Pepi: 3+ goals + assists50%
Sebastian Berhalter: 1+ goals + assists50%
Sebastian Berhalter: 2+ goals + assists50%
Sebastian Berhalter: 3+ goals + assists50%
Tim Weah: 1+ goals + assists50%
Tim Weah: 2+ goals + assists50%
Tim Weah: 3+ goals + assists50%
Malik Tillman: 1+ shots50%
Malik Tillman: 2+ shots50%
Malik Tillman: 4+ shots50%
Malik Tillman: 5+ shots50%
Malik Tillman: 1+ shots on target50%
Malik Tillman: 2+ shots on target50%
Alejandro Zendejas: 1+ goals + assists50%
Alejandro Zendejas: 2+ goals + assists50%
Alejandro Zendejas: 3+ goals + assists50%
Brenden Aaronson: 1+ goals + assists50%
Brenden Aaronson: 2+ goals + assists50%
Brenden Aaronson: 3+ goals + assists50%
Christian Pulisic: 1+ goals + assists50%
Christian Pulisic: 2+ goals + assists50%
Christian Pulisic: 3+ goals + assists50%
Folarin Balogun: 2+ goals + assists50%
Folarin Balogun: 3+ goals + assists50%
Edin Džeko: 4+ shots50%
Edin Džeko: 5+ shots50%
Edin Džeko: 1+ shots on target50%
Edin Džeko: 2+ shots on target50%
Edin Džeko: 3+ shots on target50%
Edin Džeko: 2+ goals + assists50%
Edin Džeko: 3+ goals + assists50%
Christian Pulisic: 1+ shots50%
Weston McKennie: 1+ shots50%
Weston McKennie: 4+ shots50%
Gio Reyna: 4+ shots on target50%
Weston McKennie: 1+ shots on target50%
Weston McKennie: 2+ shots on target50%
Kerim Alajbegović: 2+ goals + assists50%
Kerim Alajbegović: 3+ goals + assists50%
Kerim Alajbegović: 4+ goals + assists50%
Kerim Alajbegović: 2+ assists50%
Kerim Alajbegović: 1+ goals + assists50%
Haji Wright: 3+ shots49%
Edin Džeko: 2+ shots49%
Edin Džeko: 3+ shots49%
Ricardo Pepi: 4+ goals + assists48%
Edin Džeko: 1+ shots48%
Edin Džeko: 4+ goals + assists48%
Chris Brady: 3+ saves47%
Chris Brady: 4+ saves47%
Chris Brady: 5+ saves47%
Martin Zlomislić: 2+ saves47%
Martin Zlomislić: 3+ saves47%
Martin Zlomislić: 4+ saves47%
Martin Zlomislić: 5+ saves47%
Gio Reyna: 4+ goals + assists47%
Haji Wright: 4+ goals + assists47%
Sebastian Berhalter: 4+ goals + assists47%
Tim Weah: 4+ goals + assists47%
Alejandro Zendejas: 4+ goals + assists47%
Brenden Aaronson: 4+ goals + assists47%
Folarin Balogun: 4+ goals + assists47%
Weston McKennie: 4+ goals + assists47%
Chris Brady: 2+ saves46%
Malik Tillman: 4+ goals + assists46%
Christian Pulisic: 4+ goals + assists46%
Weston McKennie: 2+ shots45%
Weston McKennie: 3+ shots43%
Haji Wright: 4+ shots42%
Malik Tillman: 3+ shots40%
Kerim Alajbegović: 1+ assists37%
Kerim Alajbegović: 3+ shots34%
Malik Tillman: 1+ assists28%
Gio Reyna: 1+ goals25%
Tim Weah: 1+ goals25%
Alejandro Zendejas: 1+ assists25%
Alejandro Zendejas: 1+ goals24%
Gio Reyna: 1+ assists24%
Sebastian Berhalter: 1+ goals23%
Brenden Aaronson: 1+ assists23%
Ricardo Pepi: 1+ assists23%
Sebastian Berhalter: 1+ assists23%
Tim Weah: 1+ assists23%
Haji Wright: 1+ assists22%
Edin Džeko: 1+ assists21%
Ricardo Pepi: 3+ goals18%
Christian Pulisic: 1+ assists18%
Christian Pulisic: 1+ goals17%
Ricardo Pepi: 1+ goals14%
Alejandro Zendejas: 2+ goals13%
Alejandro Zendejas: 3+ goals13%
Brenden Aaronson: 2+ goals13%
Brenden Aaronson: 3+ goals13%
Gio Reyna: 2+ goals13%
Gio Reyna: 3+ goals13%
Haji Wright: 1+ goals13%
Haji Wright: 3+ goals13%
Kerim Alajbegović: 2+ goals13%
Ricardo Pepi: 2+ goals13%
Sebastian Berhalter: 2+ goals13%
Tim Weah: 2+ goals13%
Tim Weah: 3+ goals13%
Weston McKennie: 2+ assists13%
Malik Tillman: 3+ goals13%
Alejandro Zendejas: 2+ assists13%
Brenden Aaronson: 2+ assists13%
Gio Reyna: 2+ assists13%
Haji Wright: 2+ assists13%
Malik Tillman: 2+ assists13%
Ricardo Pepi: 2+ assists13%
Sebastian Berhalter: 2+ assists13%
Tim Weah: 2+ assists13%
Sebastian Berhalter: 3+ goals13%
Edin Džeko: 2+ assists13%
Weston McKennie: 2+ goals13%
Weston McKennie: 3+ goals13%
Weston McKennie: 1+ assists13%
Brenden Aaronson: 1+ goals12%
Haji Wright: 2+ goals9%
Malik Tillman: 1+ goals9%
Weston McKennie: 1+ goals6%
Malik Tillman: 2+ goals6%
Kerim Alajbegović: 1+ goals5%
Christian Pulisic: 2+ assists4%
Folarin Balogun: 2+ assists3%
Christian Pulisic: 2+ goals2%
Folarin Balogun: 1+ assists2%
Folarin Balogun: 2+ goals1%
Folarin Balogun: 3+ goals1%
Christian Pulisic: 3+ goals0%
Edin Džeko: 1+ goals0%
Edin Džeko: 2+ goals0%
Edin Džeko: 3+ goals0%

Market context

United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina - Player Props — current market-implied probability: 100%. Player prop markets for the FIFA World Cup game between United States and Bosnia and Herzegovina, scheduled for July 1 at 8:00 PM ET.

Methodology

This overview of United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina - Player Props reviews the four comparable platforms from a regulatory perspective: which is accessible in your jurisdiction, where KYC kicks in, how the platform is classified by your country of residence. Live probability is the Polymarket mid; comparison columns show regulatory status, KYC thresholds and settlement options for each platform.

Resolution & payout

On Polymarket, resolution runs on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. USDC payout is instant and automatic, with no KYC. Tax treatment depends on your jurisdiction — in the US, gains are usually ordinary income; in the UK, often capital gains. Consult a tax professional for your situation.

FAQ

Is Polymarket legal in my country?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Actual usage via the Polymarket interface is not possible there. The legal status itself varies — many countries treat prediction markets as a gray area. Is Kalshi Legal in California has a different geo footprint.
Can I trade anonymously?
Pseudonymously, yes — up to the KYC threshold. Is Kalshi Legal in California stores an email address and wallet addresses rather than a legal name. Over $1,500 lifetime volume triggers KYC, after which identity is no longer anonymous.
What happens during a tax audit?
You're responsible for documenting your trades. Is Kalshi Legal in California exports a full transaction history (CSV/PDF) for tax reporting. In an audit you'll need to present these documents.
Are prediction markets gambling?
Legally unclear in most jurisdictions. Some interpretations classify them as wagering (gambling regulation applies), others as derivatives (financial regulation applies). There's no global precedent specifically for on-chain prediction markets.
What if regulation changes?
If regulation changes in your jurisdiction (e.g. prediction markets are banned), Is Kalshi Legal in California would geo-block the affected region and continue processing withdrawals. Your funds remain withdrawable at any time.
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