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Rice vs. Notre Dame

"Rice vs. Notre Dame" — odds, fees, regulatory status. Is Kalshi Legal in California as a Polymarket alternative.

Spread -23.5 96% Spread -4.5 95% O/U 34.5 95% Spread -13.5 94% Volume: $115K Liquidity: $576K Closes: 12 Sept 2026
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Rice vs. Notre Dame

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Is Kalshi Legal in California) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
96% 4% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
96% 4% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Spread -23.596%
Spread -4.595%
O/U 34.595%
Spread -13.594%
Spread -16.594%
Spread -24.594%
O/U 36.594%
Spread -26.594%
Spread -5.591%
Spread -7.591%
Spread -17.591%
Spread -27.591%
O/U 38.589%
O/U 40.589%
Spread -29.587%
Spread -30.586%
O/U 42.584%
Spread -31.583%
Spread -33.580%
Spread -20.579%
O/U 44.579%
Spread -34.578%
O/U 46.576%
Spread -35.575%
Rice O/U 1.573%
Spread -36.573%
Rice O/U 0.573%
Rice O/U 2.572%
Notre Dame O/U 42.572%
Notre Dame O/U 43.571%
Spread -37.571%
Spread -10.570%
Spread -14.570%
O/U 48.567%
Spread -38.567%
Spread -39.565%
2H Spread -14.565%
O/U 50.564%
1H Spread -22.563%
Notre Dame O/U 45.563%
Spread -40.563%
Spread -0.562%
Spread -21.562%
Notre Dame O/U 46.562%
2H Spread -16.562%
Spread -41.562%
Spread -6.561%
Spread -8.561%
1H Spread -23.561%
2Q Spread -13.559%
O/U 52.556%
O/U 53.556%
3Q Spread -6.556%
Notre Dame O/U 48.556%
Spread -42.556%
O/U 54.555%
1H Spread -24.555%
2H Spread -17.554%
Spread -43.554%
1Q Spread -13.553%
4Q Spread -6.553%
2H Spread -18.553%
Spread -44.552%
1H Spread -26.552%
1Q Spread -11.552%
Spread -1.551%
Spread -2.551%
Spread -3.551%
1H Spread -25.551%
4Q Spread -9.551%
Notre Dame O/U 6.551%
Micah Gilbert: Anytime Touchdown51%
Rice O/U 4.551%
Rice O/U 0.550%
Rice O/U 1.550%
Rice O/U 2.550%
Rice O/U 3.550%
Notre Dame O/U 0.550%
Notre Dame O/U 1.550%
Notre Dame O/U 2.550%
Notre Dame O/U 3.550%
O/U 55.550%
2H Moneyline50%
1Q Spread -9.550%
1Q Spread -12.550%
2Q Spread -11.550%
2Q Spread -12.550%
2Q Spread -15.550%
3Q Spread -8.550%
3Q Spread -9.550%
3Q Spread -11.550%
3Q Spread -12.550%
3Q Moneyline50%
4Q Spread -5.550%
4Q Spread -8.550%
4Q Moneyline50%
Rice O/U 5.550%
Notre Dame 1H O/U 26.550%
Notre Dame 1H O/U 28.550%
1H Spread -27.550%
2H Spread -19.550%
1Q Spread -14.550%
1Q Spread -15.550%
1Q Moneyline50%
2Q Moneyline50%
3Q Spread -5.550%
3Q Spread -7.550%
4Q Spread -11.550%
Rice 1H O/U 2.550%
Rice 2H O/U 0.550%
Rice 2H O/U 2.550%
Notre Dame 2H O/U 18.550%
Notre Dame 2H O/U 20.550%
Notre Dame 2H O/U 22.550%
Aneyas Williams: Anytime Touchdown50%
Jordan Faison: Anytime Touchdown50%
Nolan James Jr.: Anytime Touchdown50%
CJ Carr: Anytime Touchdown50%
Cooper Flanagan: Anytime Touchdown50%
Kedren Young: Anytime Touchdown50%
Jaden Greathouse: Anytime Touchdown50%
Mylan Graham: Anytime Touchdown50%
James Flanigan: Anytime Touchdown50%
Tyvonn Byars: Anytime Touchdown50%
Jacurri Brown: Anytime Touchdown50%
Braylen Walker: Anytime Touchdown50%
Payton Matthews: Anytime Touchdown50%
Elijah Burress: Anytime Touchdown50%
Matt Jeffery: Anytime Touchdown50%
DAndre Hardeman Jr.: Anytime Touchdown50%
Davis Lane Jr.: Anytime Touchdown50%
Ben Grice: Anytime Touchdown50%
Carson Morgan: Anytime Touchdown50%
Max Mosey: Anytime Touchdown50%
1H O/U 25.550%
1H O/U 28.550%
1H O/U 31.550%
1H O/U 34.550%
1H O/U 37.550%
2H O/U 16.550%
2H O/U 19.550%
2H O/U 22.550%
2H O/U 25.550%
2H O/U 28.550%
1Q Spread -17.550%
1Q O/U 8.550%
1Q O/U 11.550%
1Q O/U 17.550%
1Q O/U 20.550%
2Q Spread -10.550%
2Q Spread -17.550%
2Q O/U 10.550%
2Q O/U 13.550%
2Q O/U 16.550%
2Q O/U 19.550%
2Q O/U 22.550%
3Q Spread -4.550%
3Q O/U 4.550%
3Q O/U 7.550%
3Q O/U 10.550%
3Q O/U 13.550%
3Q O/U 16.550%
4Q Spread -13.550%
4Q O/U 7.550%
4Q O/U 10.550%
4Q O/U 13.550%
4Q O/U 16.550%
4Q O/U 19.550%
Rice 1H O/U 1.550%
Rice 1H O/U 3.550%
Rice 1H O/U 5.550%
Rice 2H O/U 1.550%
Rice 2H O/U 3.550%
Rice 2H O/U 5.550%
Notre Dame 2H O/U 19.550%
Notre Dame 2H O/U 21.550%
Notre Dame 2H O/U 23.550%
Notre Dame O/U 49.549%
2H Spread -20.549%
Rice O/U 3.549%
Spread -45.547%
3Q Spread -10.546%
Notre Dame 1H O/U 30.546%
Notre Dame O/U 51.546%
O/U 56.545%
4Q Spread -10.545%
Spread -46.544%
Rice O/U 6.544%
2Q Spread -14.543%
Rice 1H O/U 0.543%
1Q Spread -10.542%
Spread -47.542%
4Q Spread -7.541%
O/U 58.540%
2Q Spread -16.540%
Notre Dame O/U 52.539%
Spread -48.539%
Notre Dame O/U 54.538%
1Q O/U 14.537%
1H Spread -28.536%
O/U 60.535%
2H Spread -21.535%
Spread -49.535%
1H Spread -29.535%
Notre Dame O/U 55.534%
2H Spread -22.534%
Rice O/U 0.533%
Spread -50.533%
Spread -51.531%
Spread -52.528%
O/U 62.527%
Rice O/U 8.526%
Rice O/U 7.526%
O/U 64.524%
Rice O/U 9.524%
Spread -54.523%
O/U 66.518%
Spread -58.517%
O/U 68.516%
Spread -57.516%
Rice O/U 11.514%
Rice O/U 10.514%
Rice O/U 12.513%
O/U 70.512%
Spread -60.512%
Spread -61.512%
O/U 72.511%
O/U 74.59%
Spread -64.56%
Rice vs. Notre Dame0%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 96% YES probability for Rice vs. Notre Dame. In the upcoming college football game between Rice and Notre Dame, scheduled for September 12 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Rice" if Rice win the game. This market will resolve to "Notre …

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Spread -23.5 at 96% for "Rice vs. Notre Dame".

Spread -23.5 96% Other 4%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $115K.

Methodology

This overview of Rice vs. Notre Dame reviews the four comparable platforms from a regulatory perspective: which is accessible in your jurisdiction, where KYC kicks in, how the platform is classified by your country of residence. Live probability is the Polymarket mid; comparison columns show regulatory status, KYC thresholds and settlement options for each platform.

Resolution & payout

On Polymarket, resolution runs on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. USDC payout is instant and automatic, with no KYC. Tax treatment depends on your jurisdiction — in the US, gains are usually ordinary income; in the UK, often capital gains. Consult a tax professional for your situation.

FAQ

How are winnings taxed?
Tax treatment varies by jurisdiction. In most countries, prediction market gains are treated as ordinary income or capital gains. We cannot provide tax advice — consult a tax professional for your specific situation.
Can I trade anonymously?
Pseudonymously, yes — up to the KYC threshold. Is Kalshi Legal in California stores an email address and wallet addresses rather than a legal name. Over $1,500 lifetime volume triggers KYC, after which identity is no longer anonymous.
What happens during a tax audit?
You're responsible for documenting your trades. Is Kalshi Legal in California exports a full transaction history (CSV/PDF) for tax reporting. In an audit you'll need to present these documents.
Are prediction markets gambling?
Legally unclear in most jurisdictions. Some interpretations classify them as wagering (gambling regulation applies), others as derivatives (financial regulation applies). There's no global precedent specifically for on-chain prediction markets.
What if regulation changes?
If regulation changes in your jurisdiction (e.g. prediction markets are banned), Is Kalshi Legal in California would geo-block the affected region and continue processing withdrawals. Your funds remain withdrawable at any time.
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