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Wisconsin vs. Notre Dame

"Wisconsin vs. Notre Dame" — odds, fees, regulatory status. Is Kalshi Legal in California as a Polymarket alternative.

O/U 27.5 91% Spread -1.5 83% Spread -2.5 83% Spread -3.5 80% Volume: $420K Liquidity: $295K Closes: 6 Sept 2026
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Wisconsin vs. Notre Dame

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Is Kalshi Legal in California) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
91% 9% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
91% 9% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 27.591%
Spread -1.583%
Spread -2.583%
Spread -3.580%
O/U 33.580%
Spread -4.578%
Wisconsin O/U 6.577%
Spread -5.576%
Spread -6.573%
2H Spread -4.573%
Spread -0.571%
O/U 31.570%
Wisconsin O/U 9.570%
Spread -7.567%
O/U 35.567%
O/U 39.565%
2H Spread -6.563%
2H Spread -7.563%
Notre Dame O/U 27.562%
O/U 29.561%
Spread -8.559%
4Q Spread -2.559%
Spread -10.558%
O/U 53.555%
2Q Spread -6.555%
Spread -13.554%
O/U 41.553%
O/U 43.553%
3Q Spread -2.553%
Notre Dame O/U 30.553%
1H Spread -8.553%
1H Spread -11.552%
O/U 37.550%
O/U 65.550%
O/U 67.550%
2H Moneyline50%
2H Spread -5.550%
2H Spread -8.550%
1Q Spread -4.550%
1Q Spread -5.550%
1Q Spread -8.550%
1Q Moneyline50%
2Q Spread -5.550%
2Q Spread -8.550%
2Q Spread -9.550%
2Q Moneyline50%
3Q Spread -1.550%
3Q Spread -3.550%
3Q Spread -4.550%
3Q Spread -5.550%
3Q Moneyline50%
4Q Spread -1.550%
4Q Spread -3.550%
4Q Spread -4.550%
4Q Spread -5.550%
4Q Moneyline50%
Wisconsin O/U 7.550%
Wisconsin O/U 10.550%
Notre Dame O/U 36.550%
Notre Dame O/U 39.550%
Notre Dame 1H O/U 15.550%
Notre Dame 1H O/U 17.550%
Notre Dame 1H O/U 19.550%
Wisconsin 1H O/U 4.550%
Wisconsin 1H O/U 6.550%
Wisconsin 1H O/U 8.550%
Wisconsin 2H O/U 4.550%
Wisconsin 2H O/U 6.550%
Wisconsin 2H O/U 8.550%
Notre Dame 2H O/U 12.550%
Notre Dame 2H O/U 14.550%
Notre Dame 2H O/U 16.550%
Aneyas Williams: Anytime Touchdown50%
Nolan James Jr.: Anytime Touchdown50%
Kedren Young: Anytime Touchdown50%
Jordan Faison: Anytime Touchdown50%
Colton Joseph: Anytime Touchdown50%
CJ Carr: Anytime Touchdown50%
Abu Sama III: Anytime Touchdown50%
Cooper Flanagan: Anytime Touchdown50%
Jaden Greathouse: Anytime Touchdown50%
Mylan Graham: Anytime Touchdown50%
Micah Gilbert: Anytime Touchdown50%
Darrion Dupree: Anytime Touchdown50%
Eugene Hilton Jr.: Anytime Touchdown50%
Chris Brooks Jr.: Anytime Touchdown50%
James Flanigan: Anytime Touchdown50%
Jacob Harris: Anytime Touchdown50%
Jaylon Domingeaux: Anytime Touchdown50%
Malachi Coleman: Anytime Touchdown50%
Matt Jeffery: Anytime Touchdown50%
Elijah Burress: Anytime Touchdown50%
Tyrell Henry: Anytime Touchdown50%
Shamar Rigby: Anytime Touchdown50%
Ryan Schwendeman: Anytime Touchdown50%
Wisconsin O/U 12.550%
Wisconsin O/U 15.550%
Wisconsin O/U 18.550%
Notre Dame 1H O/U 21.550%
Notre Dame 2H O/U 11.550%
Notre Dame 2H O/U 13.550%
Notre Dame 2H O/U 15.550%
Wisconsin O/U 0.550%
Wisconsin O/U 3.550%
Notre Dame O/U 0.550%
Notre Dame O/U 25.550%
Notre Dame O/U 28.550%
Notre Dame O/U 31.550%
Notre Dame O/U 40.550%
2H Spread -10.550%
2H Spread -11.550%
2Q Spread -4.550%
3Q Spread -8.550%
4Q Spread -7.550%
4Q Spread -8.550%
Notre Dame O/U 26.550%
Notre Dame O/U 29.550%
Notre Dame O/U 32.550%
Notre Dame O/U 35.550%
Notre Dame O/U 38.550%
1H Spread -15.550%
1H Spread -16.550%
3Q Spread -0.550%
4Q Spread -0.550%
Notre Dame 1H O/U 18.550%
Notre Dame 1H O/U 20.550%
Notre Dame 1H O/U 22.550%
Wisconsin 2H O/U 5.550%
Wisconsin 2H O/U 7.550%
Wisconsin 2H O/U 9.550%
Cam Williams: Anytime Touchdown50%
2H Spread -9.549%
Notre Dame O/U 2.549%
O/U 45.548%
1H Moneyline48%
Notre Dame O/U 33.548%
3Q Spread -6.548%
Notre Dame O/U 3.548%
Notre Dame O/U 34.548%
1H Spread -14.548%
Spread -14.546%
Spread -16.546%
O/U 59.546%
Wisconsin O/U 13.546%
O/U 46.546%
Wisconsin O/U 1.546%
Notre Dame O/U 4.546%
Notre Dame O/U 1.546%
Wisconsin O/U 1.545%
Spread -34.544%
4Q Spread -6.544%
Wisconsin O/U 2.542%
3Q Spread -7.541%
2Q Spread -7.540%
O/U 47.539%
Spread -17.539%
Wisconsin O/U 16.538%
O/U 49.537%
O/U 55.535%
1Q Spread -3.535%
Spread -20.534%
1H Spread -9.533%
O/U 61.531%
1H Spread -10.531%
Wisconsin O/U 19.531%
O/U 51.530%
Notre Dame O/U 37.530%
Spread -21.528%
1H Spread -13.526%
1H Spread -12.525%
Spread -24.523%
Spread -27.518%
Wisconsin vs. Notre Dame17%
Spread -31.517%
O/U 57.517%
1Q Spread -6.514%
O/U 63.59%
1Q Spread -7.58%

Market context

Wisconsin vs. Notre Dame — current market-implied probability: 91%. In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 6 at 7:30PM ET: If Wisconsin wins, the market will resolve to "Wisconsin". If Notre Dame wins, the market will resolve to "Notre Dame". I…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 27.5 at 91% for "Wisconsin vs. Notre Dame".

O/U 27.5 91% Other 9%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $420K.

Methodology

This overview of Wisconsin vs. Notre Dame reviews the four comparable platforms from a regulatory perspective: which is accessible in your jurisdiction, where KYC kicks in, how the platform is classified by your country of residence. Live probability is the Polymarket mid; comparison columns show regulatory status, KYC thresholds and settlement options for each platform.

Resolution & payout

On Polymarket, resolution runs on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. USDC payout is instant and automatic, with no KYC. Tax treatment depends on your jurisdiction — in the US, gains are usually ordinary income; in the UK, often capital gains. Consult a tax professional for your situation.

FAQ

Is Polymarket legal in my country?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Actual usage via the Polymarket interface is not possible there. The legal status itself varies — many countries treat prediction markets as a gray area. Is Kalshi Legal in California has a different geo footprint.
Do I need to KYC for Is Kalshi Legal in California?
Not for lifetime trading volume under $1,500. Above that threshold, a quick KYC flow kicks in — ID, selfie, approximately 5-10 minutes. The threshold matches FATF travel standards for unregulated crypto platforms.
Can I trade anonymously?
Pseudonymously, yes — up to the KYC threshold. Is Kalshi Legal in California stores an email address and wallet addresses rather than a legal name. Over $1,500 lifetime volume triggers KYC, after which identity is no longer anonymous.
Are prediction markets gambling?
Legally unclear in most jurisdictions. Some interpretations classify them as wagering (gambling regulation applies), others as derivatives (financial regulation applies). There's no global precedent specifically for on-chain prediction markets.
Is there a withdrawal cap?
No platform-side cap. You can withdraw any amount provided KYC is complete. SEPA bank withdrawals over €15,000 trigger additional anti-money-laundering checks (statutory obligation for all platforms).
and

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