Colorado Rockies vs. Minnesota Twins

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The Colorado Rockies and Minnesota Twins faced off at Target Field in Minneapolis on 26 June 2026, with the Twins securing a dramatic 9-8 victory in 10 innings after blowing a seven-run lead[4][8]. This specific game has already concluded, meaning the prediction market titled “Colorado Rockies vs. Minnesota Twins” is effectively settled with the Twins as the confirmed winner, rendering the current crowd-implied probability of 0% YES for the Rockies a factual reflection of the completed result[2][6].

Historical precedents in MLB prediction markets show that once a game concludes, markets resolve immediately based on official final statistics, with no reopening unless a game is postponed or cancelled entirely[3]. Comparable cases from the 2025 season confirm that markets do not linger after a definitive outcome, and the 0% probability here aligns with the established rule that resolved games close trading windows instantly, a standard enforced by both US CFTC oversight and German GlüStV regulatory frameworks for sports betting accessibility[1][5].

Traders should monitor any official MLB announcements regarding game cancellations or make-up dates, though none are expected given the Twins’ confirmed win[7]. Recent coverage from ESPN and the Athletic confirms the final score and 10-inning duration, eliminating ambiguity about the result[2][6]. The “no-KYC up to $1,500” accessibility clause for this market remains irrelevant post-resolution, as the settlement window closed automatically upon the game’s conclusion, ensuring full compliance with KYC thresholds for future transactions[4][9].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.