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Lions vs. Colts

"Lions vs. Colts" on Polymarket, Kalshi and Is Kalshi Legal in California — what traders need to know about platform choice, KYC and tax law.

Lions vs. Colts: Total Defensive/Special Teams TDs O/U 0.5 100% O/U 18.5 98% O/U 24.5 93% O/U 30.5 84% Volume: $220K Liquidity: $714K Closes: 29 Aug 2026
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Lions vs. Colts

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Is Kalshi Legal in California) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Lions vs. Colts: Total Defensive/Special Teams TDs O/U 0.5100%
O/U 18.598%
O/U 24.593%
O/U 30.584%
O/U 26.581%
1H O/U 19.580%
O/U 16.576%
1Q Moneyline72%
O/U 34.566%
O/U 32.565%
Lions vs. Colts63%
O/U 36.562%
O/U 35.562%
O/U 20.560%
2H Moneyline59%
O/U 28.558%
O/U 22.557%
O/U 38.552%
Lions 1H O/U 6.551%
Lions 1H O/U 8.551%
Colts O/U 20.550%
Lions O/U 16.550%
Colts O/U 19.550%
O/U 40.550%
O/U 46.550%
O/U 50.550%
O/U 52.550%
O/U 56.550%
Colts O/U 14.550%
Colts O/U 17.550%
Colts O/U 23.550%
Colts O/U 26.550%
Lions O/U 10.550%
Lions O/U 13.550%
Lions O/U 19.550%
Lions O/U 22.550%
Exact Margin: Lions by 25+50%
Exact Margin: Lions by 19-2450%
Exact Margin: Lions by 13-1850%
Exact Margin: Lions by 7-1250%
Exact Margin: Lions by 1-650%
Exact Margin: Tie50%
Exact Margin: Colts by 1-650%
Exact Margin: Colts by 7-1350%
Exact Margin: Colts by 14-2050%
Exact Margin: Colts by 21+50%
Lions Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.550%
Colts Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.550%
Lions vs. Colts: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.550%
Colts 1H O/U 8.550%
Colts 1H O/U 10.550%
Colts 1H O/U 12.550%
Lions 1H O/U 10.550%
1H Moneyline49%
O/U 42.544%
Spread -1.534%
Spread -2.532%
1H Spread -2.527%
O/U 44.526%
Spread -3.525%
Spread -4.522%
Spread -6.522%
O/U 48.522%
O/U 54.510%

Market context

The Lions vs. Colts prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for August 29 at 1:00PM ET: If Lions wins, the market will resolve to "Lions". If Colts wins, the market will resolve to "Colts". If the game is postponed, this mar…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Lions vs. Colts: Total Defensive/Special Teams TDs O/U 0.5 at 100% for "Lions vs. Colts".

Lions vs. Colts: Total Defensive/Special Teams TDs O/U 0.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $220K.

Methodology

This overview of Lions vs. Colts reviews the four comparable platforms from a regulatory perspective: which is accessible in your jurisdiction, where KYC kicks in, how the platform is classified by your country of residence. Live probability is the Polymarket mid; comparison columns show regulatory status, KYC thresholds and settlement options for each platform.

Resolution & payout

On Polymarket, resolution runs on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. USDC payout is instant and automatic, with no KYC. Tax treatment depends on your jurisdiction — in the US, gains are usually ordinary income; in the UK, often capital gains. Consult a tax professional for your situation.

FAQ

Is Polymarket legal in my country?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Actual usage via the Polymarket interface is not possible there. The legal status itself varies — many countries treat prediction markets as a gray area. Is Kalshi Legal in California has a different geo footprint.
How are winnings taxed?
Tax treatment varies by jurisdiction. In most countries, prediction market gains are treated as ordinary income or capital gains. We cannot provide tax advice — consult a tax professional for your specific situation.
Can I trade anonymously?
Pseudonymously, yes — up to the KYC threshold. Is Kalshi Legal in California stores an email address and wallet addresses rather than a legal name. Over $1,500 lifetime volume triggers KYC, after which identity is no longer anonymous.
Is there a withdrawal cap?
No platform-side cap. You can withdraw any amount provided KYC is complete. SEPA bank withdrawals over €15,000 trigger additional anti-money-laundering checks (statutory obligation for all platforms).
What if regulation changes?
If regulation changes in your jurisdiction (e.g. prediction markets are banned), Is Kalshi Legal in California would geo-block the affected region and continue processing withdrawals. Your funds remain withdrawable at any time.
and

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Related Topics

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