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Jets vs. Lions - Player Props

Regulatory snapshot for "Jets vs. Lions - Player Props": platform geo-block status, KYC thresholds, tax implications.

Geno Smith: Passing Yards O/U 149.5 100% Geno Smith: Passing Yards O/U 174.5 100% Geno Smith: Passing Yards O/U 199.5 100% Geno Smith: Passing Yards O/U 224.5 100% Volume: $97K Closes: 27 Sept 2026
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Jets vs. Lions - Player Props

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Is Kalshi Legal in California) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Geno Smith: Passing Yards O/U 149.5100%
Geno Smith: Passing Yards O/U 174.5100%
Geno Smith: Passing Yards O/U 199.5100%
Geno Smith: Passing Yards O/U 224.5100%
Geno Smith: Passing Yards O/U 249.5100%
Jared Goff: Passing Yards O/U 199.5100%
Jared Goff: Passing Yards O/U 224.5100%
Jared Goff: Passing Yards O/U 249.5100%
Geno Smith: Passing Touchdowns O/U 0.5100%
Geno Smith: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.5100%
Geno Smith: Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.5100%
Jared Goff: Passing Touchdowns O/U 0.5100%
Jared Goff: Passing Touchdowns O/U 1.5100%
Jahmyr Gibbs: Rushing Yards O/U 59.5100%
Jahmyr Gibbs: Rushing Yards O/U 69.5100%
Jahmyr Gibbs: Rushing Yards O/U 79.5100%
Jahmyr Gibbs: Rushing Yards O/U 89.5100%
Breece Hall: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5100%
Breece Hall: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5100%
Garrett Wilson: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5100%
Garrett Wilson: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5100%
Garrett Wilson: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5100%
Garrett Wilson: Receiving Yards O/U 69.5100%
Garrett Wilson: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5100%
Jahmyr Gibbs: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5100%
Jahmyr Gibbs: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5100%
Jahmyr Gibbs: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5100%
Jameson Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5100%
Sam LaPorta: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5100%
Sam LaPorta: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5100%
Sam LaPorta: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5100%
Breece Hall: Receptions O/U 1.5100%
Breece Hall: Receptions O/U 2.5100%
Garrett Wilson: Receptions O/U 3.5100%
Garrett Wilson: Receptions O/U 4.5100%
Garrett Wilson: Receptions O/U 5.5100%
Jahmyr Gibbs: Receptions O/U 2.5100%
Jahmyr Gibbs: Receptions O/U 3.5100%
Jahmyr Gibbs: Receptions O/U 4.5100%
Jameson Williams: Receptions O/U 2.5100%
Jameson Williams: Receptions O/U 3.5100%
Sam LaPorta: Receptions O/U 2.5100%
Amon-Ra St. Brown: Anytime Touchdown100%
Garrett Wilson: Anytime Touchdown100%
Jahmyr Gibbs: Anytime Touchdown100%
Jahmyr Gibbs: 2+ Touchdowns100%
Jeremy Ruckert: Anytime Touchdown100%
Garrett Wilson: Longest Reception O/U 19.5100%
Jameson Williams: Longest Reception O/U 19.5100%
Sam LaPorta: Longest Reception O/U 19.5100%
Geno Smith: Passing Attempts O/U 27.5100%
Geno Smith: Passing Attempts O/U 31.5100%
Geno Smith: Passing Attempts O/U 35.5100%
Jared Goff: Passing Attempts O/U 27.5100%
Jared Goff: Passing Attempts O/U 31.5100%
Geno Smith: Passing Completions O/U 17.5100%
Geno Smith: Passing Completions O/U 19.5100%
Geno Smith: Passing Completions O/U 21.5100%
Jared Goff: Passing Completions O/U 19.5100%
Jared Goff: Passing Completions O/U 21.5100%
Jared Goff: Passing Completions O/U 23.5100%
Isaac TeSlaa: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5100%
Kenyon Sadiq: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5100%
Isaac TeSlaa: Receptions O/U 1.5100%
Kenyon Sadiq: Receptions O/U 1.5100%
Kenyon Sadiq: Anytime Touchdown100%
Kenyon Sadiq: Team First TD (New York Jets)100%
Isaiah Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5100%
Geno Smith: Passing Yards O/U 124.5100%
Geno Smith: Passing Yards O/U 274.5100%
Geno Smith: Passing Yards O/U 299.5100%
Jared Goff: Passing Yards O/U 149.5100%
Jared Goff: Passing Yards O/U 174.5100%
Garrett Wilson: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5100%
Garrett Wilson: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5100%
Garrett Wilson: Receiving Yards O/U 89.5100%
Garrett Wilson: Receiving Yards O/U 99.5100%
Jahmyr Gibbs: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5100%
Jahmyr Gibbs: Receiving Yards O/U 59.5100%
Jameson Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 9.5100%
Jameson Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5100%
Jameson Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5100%
Garrett Wilson: Receptions O/U 6.5100%
Garrett Wilson: Receptions O/U 7.5100%
Braelon Allen: Rushing Yards O/U 9.5100%
Isaac TeSlaa: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5100%
Isaac TeSlaa: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5100%
Isaiah Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5100%
Kenyon Sadiq: Receiving Yards O/U 19.5100%
Kenyon Sadiq: Receiving Yards O/U 29.5100%
Kenyon Sadiq: Receiving Yards O/U 39.5100%
Kenyon Sadiq: Receiving Yards O/U 49.5100%
Isaac TeSlaa: Receptions O/U 0.5100%
Isaac TeSlaa: Receptions O/U 2.5100%
Isaiah Williams: Receptions O/U 0.5100%
Kenyon Sadiq: Receptions O/U 2.5100%
Kenyon Sadiq: Receptions O/U 3.5100%
Sione Vaki: Rushing Yards O/U 9.5100%
Sione Vaki: Rushing Yards O/U 19.5100%
Jeremy Ruckert: Receptions O/U 0.5100%
Jeremy Ruckert: Receptions O/U 1.5100%
Jeremy Ruckert: Receptions O/U 2.5100%
Breece Hall: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5100%
Arian Smith: Anytime Touchdown50%
Arian Smith: 2+ Touchdowns50%
Arian Smith: Team First TD (New York Jets)50%
Jared Goff: Passing Yards O/U 274.50%
Jared Goff: Passing Yards O/U 299.50%
Geno Smith: Passing Touchdowns O/U 3.50%
Jared Goff: Passing Touchdowns O/U 2.50%
Jared Goff: Passing Touchdowns O/U 3.50%
Braelon Allen: Rushing Yards O/U 19.50%
Breece Hall: Rushing Yards O/U 39.50%
Breece Hall: Rushing Yards O/U 49.50%
Breece Hall: Rushing Yards O/U 59.50%
Breece Hall: Rushing Yards O/U 69.50%
Breece Hall: Rushing Yards O/U 79.50%
Jahmyr Gibbs: Rushing Yards O/U 99.50%
Adonai Mitchell: Receiving Yards O/U 9.50%
Amon-Ra St. Brown: Receiving Yards O/U 59.50%
Amon-Ra St. Brown: Receiving Yards O/U 69.50%
Amon-Ra St. Brown: Receiving Yards O/U 79.50%
Amon-Ra St. Brown: Receiving Yards O/U 89.50%
Amon-Ra St. Brown: Receiving Yards O/U 99.50%
Breece Hall: Receiving Yards O/U 29.50%
Jameson Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 49.50%
Jameson Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 59.50%
Jameson Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 69.50%
Jameson Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 79.50%
Sam LaPorta: Receiving Yards O/U 49.50%
Sam LaPorta: Receiving Yards O/U 59.50%
Adonai Mitchell: Receptions O/U 1.50%
Amon-Ra St. Brown: Receptions O/U 5.50%
Amon-Ra St. Brown: Receptions O/U 6.50%
Amon-Ra St. Brown: Receptions O/U 7.50%
Breece Hall: Receptions O/U 3.50%
Jameson Williams: Receptions O/U 4.50%
Sam LaPorta: Receptions O/U 3.50%
Sam LaPorta: Receptions O/U 4.50%
Adonai Mitchell: Anytime Touchdown0%
Adonai Mitchell: 2+ Touchdowns0%
Amon-Ra St. Brown: 2+ Touchdowns0%
Braelon Allen: Anytime Touchdown0%
Braelon Allen: 2+ Touchdowns0%
Breece Hall: Anytime Touchdown0%
Breece Hall: 2+ Touchdowns0%
Brock Wright: Anytime Touchdown0%
Brock Wright: 2+ Touchdowns0%
Garrett Wilson: 2+ Touchdowns0%
Geno Smith: Anytime Touchdown0%
Geno Smith: 2+ Touchdowns0%
Jacob Saylors: Anytime Touchdown0%
Jacob Saylors: 2+ Touchdowns0%
Jameson Williams: Anytime Touchdown0%
Jameson Williams: 2+ Touchdowns0%
Jared Goff: Anytime Touchdown0%
Jared Goff: 2+ Touchdowns0%
Jelani Woods: Anytime Touchdown0%
Jelani Woods: 2+ Touchdowns0%
Jeremy Ruckert: 2+ Touchdowns0%
Sam LaPorta: Anytime Touchdown0%
Sam LaPorta: 2+ Touchdowns0%
Sione Vaki: Anytime Touchdown0%
Sione Vaki: 2+ Touchdowns0%
Tay Martin: Anytime Touchdown0%
Tay Martin: 2+ Touchdowns0%
Tom Kennedy: Anytime Touchdown0%
Tom Kennedy: 2+ Touchdowns0%
Tyler Conklin: Anytime Touchdown0%
Tyler Conklin: 2+ Touchdowns0%
Amon-Ra St. Brown: Longest Reception O/U 19.50%
Jared Goff: Passing Attempts O/U 35.50%
Mason Taylor: Receiving Yards O/U 9.50%
Mason Taylor: Receptions O/U 1.50%
Isaac TeSlaa: Anytime Touchdown0%
Isaac TeSlaa: 2+ Touchdowns0%
Isaiah Davis: Anytime Touchdown0%
Isaiah Davis: 2+ Touchdowns0%
Isaiah Williams: Anytime Touchdown0%
Isaiah Williams: 2+ Touchdowns0%
Jackson Meeks: Anytime Touchdown0%
Jackson Meeks: 2+ Touchdowns0%
Kenyon Sadiq: 2+ Touchdowns0%
Mason Taylor: Anytime Touchdown0%
Mason Taylor: 2+ Touchdowns0%
Adonai Mitchell: Team First TD (New York Jets)0%
Amon-Ra St. Brown: Team First TD (Detroit Lions)0%
Braelon Allen: Team First TD (New York Jets)0%
Breece Hall: Team First TD (New York Jets)0%
Brock Wright: Team First TD (Detroit Lions)0%
Garrett Wilson: Team First TD (New York Jets)0%
Geno Smith: Team First TD (New York Jets)0%
Isaac TeSlaa: Team First TD (Detroit Lions)0%
Isaiah Davis: Team First TD (New York Jets)0%
Isaiah Williams: Team First TD (New York Jets)0%
Jackson Meeks: Team First TD (Detroit Lions)0%
Jacob Saylors: Team First TD (Detroit Lions)0%
Jahmyr Gibbs: Team First TD (Detroit Lions)0%
Jameson Williams: Team First TD (Detroit Lions)0%
Jared Goff: Team First TD (Detroit Lions)0%
Jelani Woods: Team First TD (New York Jets)0%
Jeremy Ruckert: Team First TD (New York Jets)0%
Mason Taylor: Team First TD (New York Jets)0%
Sam LaPorta: Team First TD (Detroit Lions)0%
Sione Vaki: Team First TD (Detroit Lions)0%
Tay Martin: Team First TD (Detroit Lions)0%
Tom Kennedy: Team First TD (Detroit Lions)0%
Tyler Conklin: Team First TD (Detroit Lions)0%
Isaiah Williams: Receptions O/U 1.50%
Adonai Mitchell: Longest Reception O/U 19.50%
Malik McClain: Anytime Touchdown0%
Malik McClain: 2+ Touchdowns0%
Malik McClain: Team First TD (New York Jets)0%
Geno Smith: Passing Yards O/U 324.50%
Jared Goff: Passing Yards O/U 324.50%
Jared Goff: Passing Yards O/U 349.50%
Jahmyr Gibbs: Rushing Yards O/U 109.50%
Jahmyr Gibbs: Rushing Yards O/U 119.50%
Adonai Mitchell: Receiving Yards O/U 29.50%
Adonai Mitchell: Receiving Yards O/U 39.50%
Adonai Mitchell: Receiving Yards O/U 49.50%
Adonai Mitchell: Receiving Yards O/U 59.50%
Amon-Ra St. Brown: Receiving Yards O/U 39.50%
Amon-Ra St. Brown: Receiving Yards O/U 49.50%
Amon-Ra St. Brown: Receiving Yards O/U 109.50%
Amon-Ra St. Brown: Receiving Yards O/U 119.50%
Jameson Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 89.50%
Adonai Mitchell: Receptions O/U 2.50%
Adonai Mitchell: Receptions O/U 3.50%
Amon-Ra St. Brown: Receptions O/U 8.50%
Amon-Ra St. Brown: Receptions O/U 9.50%
Braelon Allen: Rushing Yards O/U 29.50%
Isaiah Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 29.50%
Isaiah Williams: Receptions O/U 2.50%
Isaiah Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 39.50%
Isaiah Williams: Receiving Yards O/U 49.50%
Jamaal Pritchett: Anytime Touchdown0%
Jamaal Pritchett: Team First TD (New York Jets)0%
Sterling Shepard: Anytime Touchdown0%
Sterling Shepard: Team First TD (New York Jets)0%
Breece Hall: Rushing Yards O/U 89.50%
Jamaal Pritchett: 2+ Touchdowns0%
Sterling Shepard: 2+ Touchdowns0%

Market context

Jets vs. Lions - Player Props — current market-implied probability: 100%. Player prop markets for the NFL game between the Jets and Lions, scheduled for September 27 at 1:00 PM ET.

Methodology

This overview of Jets vs. Lions - Player Props reviews the four comparable platforms from a regulatory perspective: which is accessible in your jurisdiction, where KYC kicks in, how the platform is classified by your country of residence. Live probability is the Polymarket mid; comparison columns show regulatory status, KYC thresholds and settlement options for each platform.

Resolution & payout

On Polymarket, resolution runs on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. USDC payout is instant and automatic, with no KYC. Tax treatment depends on your jurisdiction — in the US, gains are usually ordinary income; in the UK, often capital gains. Consult a tax professional for your situation.

FAQ

Is Polymarket legal in my country?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Actual usage via the Polymarket interface is not possible there. The legal status itself varies — many countries treat prediction markets as a gray area. Is Kalshi Legal in California has a different geo footprint.
Can I trade anonymously?
Pseudonymously, yes — up to the KYC threshold. Is Kalshi Legal in California stores an email address and wallet addresses rather than a legal name. Over $1,500 lifetime volume triggers KYC, after which identity is no longer anonymous.
Are prediction markets gambling?
Legally unclear in most jurisdictions. Some interpretations classify them as wagering (gambling regulation applies), others as derivatives (financial regulation applies). There's no global precedent specifically for on-chain prediction markets.
Is there a withdrawal cap?
No platform-side cap. You can withdraw any amount provided KYC is complete. SEPA bank withdrawals over €15,000 trigger additional anti-money-laundering checks (statutory obligation for all platforms).
What if regulation changes?
If regulation changes in your jurisdiction (e.g. prediction markets are banned), Is Kalshi Legal in California would geo-block the affected region and continue processing withdrawals. Your funds remain withdrawable at any time.
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