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England vs. DR Congo - Player Props

"England vs. DR Congo - Player Props" — odds, fees, regulatory status. Is Kalshi Legal in California as a Polymarket alternative.

Marcus Rashford: 1+ shots 91% Jude Bellingham: 1+ shots 89% Noni Madueke: 1+ shots 72% Jude Bellingham: 2+ shots 71% Volume: $335K Liquidity: $1.4M Closes: 1 Jul 2026
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England vs. DR Congo - Player Props

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Is Kalshi Legal in California) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
91% 9% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
91% 9% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Marcus Rashford: 1+ shots91%
Jude Bellingham: 1+ shots89%
Noni Madueke: 1+ shots72%
Jude Bellingham: 2+ shots71%
Marcus Rashford: 2+ shots68%
Marcus Rashford: 1+ shots on target67%
Jude Bellingham: 1+ shots on target61%
Harry Kane: 1+ goals55%
Harry Kane: 2+ shots on target53%
Marcus Rashford: 3+ shots52%
Bukayo Saka: 2+ goals + assists49%
Jude Bellingham: 1+ goals + assists49%
Harry Kane: 4+ shots on target48%
Dean Henderson: 3+ saves47%
Timothy Fayulu: 3+ saves47%
Noni Madueke: 2+ shots47%
Anthony Gordon: 1+ shots on target47%
Anthony Gordon: 2+ shots on target47%
Bukayo Saka: 4+ shots on target47%
Eberechi Eze: 2+ shots on target47%
Ivan Toney: 1+ shots on target47%
Ivan Toney: 3+ shots on target47%
Jude Bellingham: 4+ shots on target47%
Marcus Rashford: 4+ shots on target47%
Morgan Rogers: 1+ shots on target47%
Morgan Rogers: 2+ shots on target47%
Morgan Rogers: 3+ shots on target47%
Noni Madueke: 1+ shots on target47%
Noni Madueke: 2+ shots on target47%
Noni Madueke: 3+ shots on target47%
Noni Madueke: 4+ shots on target47%
Ollie Watkins: 1+ shots on target47%
Ollie Watkins: 2+ shots on target47%
Ollie Watkins: 3+ shots on target47%
Ollie Watkins: 4+ shots on target47%
Anthony Gordon: 3+ goals + assists47%
Bukayo Saka: 1+ goals + assists47%
Bukayo Saka: 3+ goals + assists47%
Harry Kane: 3+ goals + assists47%
Harry Kane: 4+ goals + assists47%
Jude Bellingham: 2+ goals + assists47%
Jude Bellingham: 3+ goals + assists47%
Marcus Rashford: 2+ goals + assists47%
Marcus Rashford: 3+ goals + assists47%
Bukayo Saka: 1+ shots on target46%
Bukayo Saka: 2+ shots on target46%
Bukayo Saka: 3+ shots on target46%
Eberechi Eze: 1+ shots on target46%
Ivan Toney: 2+ shots on target46%
Anthony Gordon: 4+ goals + assists46%
Harry Kane: 2+ goals + assists46%
Marcus Rashford: 4+ goals + assists46%
Eberechi Eze: 1+ shots45%
Dean Henderson: 5+ saves44%
Harry Kane: 1+ shots on target44%
Bukayo Saka: 1+ shots43%
Morgan Rogers: 4+ goals + assists41%
Noni Madueke: 3+ shots40%
Anthony Gordon: 1+ shots39%
Harry Kane: 1+ goals + assists39%
Noni Madueke: 2+ goals + assists39%
Jude Bellingham: 3+ shots38%
Noni Madueke: 3+ goals + assists35%
Morgan Rogers: 3+ goals + assists35%
Jude Bellingham: 2+ shots on target32%
Bukayo Saka: 2+ shots30%
Noni Madueke: 4+ goals + assists29%
Jude Bellingham: 1+ goals28%
Marcus Rashford: 1+ goals28%
Eberechi Eze: 2+ shots28%
Anthony Gordon: 2+ shots25%
Jude Bellingham: 1+ assists25%
Morgan Rogers: 1+ shots24%
Marcus Rashford: 1+ goals + assists24%
Morgan Rogers: 2+ shots23%
Eberechi Eze: 3+ shots22%
Marcus Rashford: 1+ assists22%
Marcus Rashford: 4+ shots21%
Harry Kane: 3+ shots on target21%
Harry Kane: 2+ goals19%
Marcus Rashford: 2+ shots on target19%
Noni Madueke: 1+ goals18%
Jude Bellingham: 4+ shots18%
Harry Kane: 1+ assists17%
Noni Madueke: 1+ assists17%
Noni Madueke: 1+ goals + assists17%
Bukayo Saka: 3+ shots16%
Noni Madueke: 4+ shots15%
Bukayo Saka: 1+ goals14%
Marcus Rashford: 5+ shots14%
Noni Madueke: 5+ shots14%
Anthony Gordon: 2+ assists14%
Jude Bellingham: 5+ shots13%
Morgan Rogers: 2+ assists13%
Bukayo Saka: 1+ assists12%
Timothy Fayulu: 2+ saves11%
Timothy Fayulu: 4+ saves11%
Marcus Rashford: 3+ shots on target11%
Anthony Gordon: 1+ goals10%
Dean Henderson: 2+ saves10%
Dean Henderson: 4+ saves10%
Timothy Fayulu: 5+ saves10%
Bukayo Saka: 4+ goals + assists10%
Jude Bellingham: 4+ goals + assists10%
Ollie Watkins: 2+ goals9%
Jude Bellingham: 3+ shots on target9%
Bukayo Saka: 4+ shots8%
Anthony Gordon: 1+ assists8%
Anthony Gordon: 1+ goals + assists8%
Morgan Rogers: 1+ goals + assists8%
Ivan Toney: 1+ goals7%
Anthony Gordon: 4+ shots on target7%
Ivan Toney: 4+ shots on target7%
Eberechi Eze: 4+ shots on target7%
Morgan Rogers: 4+ shots on target7%
Eberechi Eze: 1+ goals6%
Morgan Rogers: 1+ goals6%
Bukayo Saka: 5+ shots6%
Bukayo Saka: 2+ assists6%
Morgan Rogers: 1+ assists6%
Harry Kane: 3+ goals5%
Jude Bellingham: 2+ goals5%
Marcus Rashford: 2+ goals5%
Ollie Watkins: 1+ goals5%
Jude Bellingham: 2+ assists5%
Anthony Gordon: 3+ shots4%
Anthony Gordon: 5+ shots4%
Morgan Rogers: 3+ shots4%
Harry Kane: 2+ assists4%
Noni Madueke: 2+ assists4%
Anthony Gordon: 2+ goals + assists4%
Morgan Rogers: 2+ goals + assists4%
Eberechi Eze: 2+ goals3%
Marcus Rashford: 2+ assists3%
Anthony Gordon: 2+ goals2%
Bukayo Saka: 2+ goals2%
Ivan Toney: 2+ goals2%
Morgan Rogers: 2+ goals2%
Noni Madueke: 2+ goals2%
Ollie Watkins: 3+ goals2%
Anthony Gordon: 4+ shots2%
Eberechi Eze: 4+ shots2%
Eberechi Eze: 5+ shots2%
Morgan Rogers: 4+ shots2%
Morgan Rogers: 5+ shots2%
Anthony Gordon: 3+ shots on target2%
Eberechi Eze: 3+ shots on target2%
Eberechi Eze: 3+ goals1%
Ivan Toney: 3+ goals1%
Jude Bellingham: 3+ goals1%
Marcus Rashford: 3+ goals1%
Morgan Rogers: 3+ goals1%
Anthony Gordon: 3+ goals0%
Bukayo Saka: 3+ goals0%
Noni Madueke: 3+ goals0%

Market context

England vs. DR Congo - Player Props — current market-implied probability: 91%. Player prop markets for the FIFA World Cup game between England and DR Congo, scheduled for July 1 at 12:00 PM ET.

Methodology

This overview of England vs. DR Congo - Player Props reviews the four comparable platforms from a regulatory perspective: which is accessible in your jurisdiction, where KYC kicks in, how the platform is classified by your country of residence. Live probability is the Polymarket mid; comparison columns show regulatory status, KYC thresholds and settlement options for each platform.

Resolution & payout

On Polymarket, resolution runs on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. USDC payout is instant and automatic, with no KYC. Tax treatment depends on your jurisdiction — in the US, gains are usually ordinary income; in the UK, often capital gains. Consult a tax professional for your situation.

FAQ

Do I need to KYC for Is Kalshi Legal in California?
Not for lifetime trading volume under $1,500. Above that threshold, a quick KYC flow kicks in — ID, selfie, approximately 5-10 minutes. The threshold matches FATF travel standards for unregulated crypto platforms.
Can I trade anonymously?
Pseudonymously, yes — up to the KYC threshold. Is Kalshi Legal in California stores an email address and wallet addresses rather than a legal name. Over $1,500 lifetime volume triggers KYC, after which identity is no longer anonymous.
What happens during a tax audit?
You're responsible for documenting your trades. Is Kalshi Legal in California exports a full transaction history (CSV/PDF) for tax reporting. In an audit you'll need to present these documents.
Is there a withdrawal cap?
No platform-side cap. You can withdraw any amount provided KYC is complete. SEPA bank withdrawals over €15,000 trigger additional anti-money-laundering checks (statutory obligation for all platforms).
What if regulation changes?
If regulation changes in your jurisdiction (e.g. prediction markets are banned), Is Kalshi Legal in California would geo-block the affected region and continue processing withdrawals. Your funds remain withdrawable at any time.
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