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Valorant: Team Envy vs M80 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In

"Valorant: Team Envy vs M80 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In" — odds, fees, regulatory status. Is Kalshi Legal in California as a Polymarket alternative.

Map 1 Winner 100% Map 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.5 90% Volume: $356K Liquidity: $637K Closes: 14 Aug 2026
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Valorant: Team Envy vs M80 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Is Kalshi Legal in California) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
Map 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.590%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.590%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.590%
Map Handicap: NV (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5)90%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-3.5) vs M80 (+3.5)55%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-2.5) vs M80 (+2.5)55%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.555%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-6.5) vs M80 (+6.5)55%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.555%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-4.5) vs M80 (+4.5)55%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-5.5) vs M80 (+5.5)55%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.555%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-7.5) vs M80 (+7.5)55%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.555%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 17.555%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: M80 (-2.5) vs Team Envy (+2.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.550%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-2.5) vs M80 (+2.5)45%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-3.5) vs M80 (+3.5)45%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-6.5) vs M80 (+6.5)45%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.545%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 23.545%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.545%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.545%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-8.5) vs M80 (+8.5)45%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-5.5) vs M80 (+5.5)45%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Envy (-4.5) vs M80 (+4.5)45%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.545%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.545%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.510%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 22.510%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.510%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: M80 (-2.5) vs Team Envy (+2.5)10%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: M80 (-2.5) vs Team Envy (+2.5)10%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Map Handicap: M80 (-1.5) vs Team Envy (+1.5)0%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of valorant: team envy vs m80 (bo3) - vct americas stage 2 play-in. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Valorant Upper bracket round 1 match between Team Envy and M80 in the VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In, initially scheduled for August 13 at 8:00PM ET. This …

Methodology

This overview of Valorant: Team Envy vs M80 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In reviews the four comparable platforms from a regulatory perspective: which is accessible in your jurisdiction, where KYC kicks in, how the platform is classified by your country of residence. Live probability is the Polymarket mid; comparison columns show regulatory status, KYC thresholds and settlement options for each platform.

Resolution & payout

On Polymarket, resolution runs on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. USDC payout is instant and automatic, with no KYC. Tax treatment depends on your jurisdiction — in the US, gains are usually ordinary income; in the UK, often capital gains. Consult a tax professional for your situation.

FAQ

Is Polymarket legal in my country?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Actual usage via the Polymarket interface is not possible there. The legal status itself varies — many countries treat prediction markets as a gray area. Is Kalshi Legal in California has a different geo footprint.
Can I trade anonymously?
Pseudonymously, yes — up to the KYC threshold. Is Kalshi Legal in California stores an email address and wallet addresses rather than a legal name. Over $1,500 lifetime volume triggers KYC, after which identity is no longer anonymous.
What happens during a tax audit?
You're responsible for documenting your trades. Is Kalshi Legal in California exports a full transaction history (CSV/PDF) for tax reporting. In an audit you'll need to present these documents.
Is there a withdrawal cap?
No platform-side cap. You can withdraw any amount provided KYC is complete. SEPA bank withdrawals over €15,000 trigger additional anti-money-laundering checks (statutory obligation for all platforms).
What if regulation changes?
If regulation changes in your jurisdiction (e.g. prediction markets are banned), Is Kalshi Legal in California would geo-block the affected region and continue processing withdrawals. Your funds remain withdrawable at any time.
and

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