🎁 New traders: 100% Deposit Match up to $500 · 0% fees · instant USDC payoutsClaim it →
Skip to main content
HomeGuideCryptoMarketsBlogGo to the live market →

US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Hugo Gaston

Regulatory snapshot for "US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Hugo Gaston": platform geo-block status, KYC thresholds, tax implications.

US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Hugo Gaston 100% Completed Match 100% US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Hugo Gaston Set 2 Winner 100% US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Hugo Gaston Set 1 Winner 100% Volume: $170K Closes: 6 Sept 2026
Open live market →
US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Hugo Gaston

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Is Kalshi Legal in California) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Hugo Gaston100%
Completed Match100%
US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Hugo Gaston Set 2 Winner100%
US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Hugo Gaston Set 1 Winner100%
US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Hugo Gaston Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Hugo Gaston Set Handicap +/-1.5100%
US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Hugo Gaston Set 3 Winner100%
US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Hugo Gaston Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Hugo Gaston Set Handicap +/-2.5100%
US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Hugo Gaston Set 3 O/U 8.5100%
US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Hugo Gaston Set 3 O/U 9.5100%
US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Hugo Gaston Set 4 Winner50%
US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Hugo Gaston Set 4 O/U 8.550%
US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Hugo Gaston Set 4 O/U 9.550%
US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Hugo Gaston Set 4 O/U 10.550%
US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Hugo Gaston Total Sets: O/U 3.50%
US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Hugo Gaston Set 2 O/U 8.50%
US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Hugo Gaston Match O/U 36.50%
US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Hugo Gaston Game Spread +/-8.50%
US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Hugo Gaston Total Sets: O/U 4.50%
US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Hugo Gaston Set 2 O/U 9.50%
US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Hugo Gaston Match O/U 38.50%
US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Hugo Gaston Set 2 O/U 10.50%
US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Hugo Gaston Match O/U 40.50%
US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Hugo Gaston Set 1 O/U 10.50%
US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Hugo Gaston Set 3 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to us open atp: daniil medvedev vs hugo gaston. This market refers to the tennis match between Daniil Medvedev and Hugo Gaston in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Medvedev…

Methodology

This overview of US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Hugo Gaston reviews the four comparable platforms from a regulatory perspective: which is accessible in your jurisdiction, where KYC kicks in, how the platform is classified by your country of residence. Live probability is the Polymarket mid; comparison columns show regulatory status, KYC thresholds and settlement options for each platform.

Resolution & payout

On Polymarket, resolution runs on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. USDC payout is instant and automatic, with no KYC. Tax treatment depends on your jurisdiction — in the US, gains are usually ordinary income; in the UK, often capital gains. Consult a tax professional for your situation.

FAQ

Is Polymarket legal in my country?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Actual usage via the Polymarket interface is not possible there. The legal status itself varies — many countries treat prediction markets as a gray area. Is Kalshi Legal in California has a different geo footprint.
How are winnings taxed?
Tax treatment varies by jurisdiction. In most countries, prediction market gains are treated as ordinary income or capital gains. We cannot provide tax advice — consult a tax professional for your specific situation.
What happens during a tax audit?
You're responsible for documenting your trades. Is Kalshi Legal in California exports a full transaction history (CSV/PDF) for tax reporting. In an audit you'll need to present these documents.
Are prediction markets gambling?
Legally unclear in most jurisdictions. Some interpretations classify them as wagering (gambling regulation applies), others as derivatives (financial regulation applies). There's no global precedent specifically for on-chain prediction markets.
Is there a withdrawal cap?
No platform-side cap. You can withdraw any amount provided KYC is complete. SEPA bank withdrawals over €15,000 trigger additional anti-money-laundering checks (statutory obligation for all platforms).
and

Trade US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Hugo Gaston on Is Kalshi Legal in California

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

Open live market →

Related Topics

Tennis Prediction Markets