🎁 New traders: 100% Deposit Match up to $500 · 0% fees · instant USDC payoutsClaim it →
Skip to main content
HomeGuideCryptoMarketsBlogGo to the live market →

Dolphins vs. Raiders

Regulatory snapshot for "Dolphins vs. Raiders": platform geo-block status, KYC thresholds, tax implications.

Spread -1.5 100% Spread -3.5 100% Spread -4.5 100% Spread -6.5 100% Volume: $1.4M Liquidity: $305K Closes: 13 Sept 2026
Open live market →
Dolphins vs. Raiders

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Is Kalshi Legal in California) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Go to the live market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Go to the live market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Go to the live market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Go to the live market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Go to the live market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Spread -1.5100%
Spread -3.5100%
Spread -4.5100%
Spread -6.5100%
O/U 38.5100%
Spread -2.5100%
O/U 21.5100%
O/U 23.5100%
O/U 25.5100%
O/U 27.5100%
O/U 29.5100%
O/U 31.5100%
O/U 33.5100%
O/U 35.5100%
O/U 37.5100%
O/U 39.5100%
1Q Spread -0.5100%
1Q Spread -1.5100%
1Q Spread -2.5100%
1Q O/U 1.5100%
1Q O/U 4.5100%
Raiders 1H O/U 8.5100%
Raiders 1H O/U 10.5100%
Raiders 1H O/U 12.5100%
1Q Spread -3.5100%
1Q Spread -4.5100%
1H O/U 20.5100%
2H O/U 13.5100%
2H O/U 16.5100%
2Q Spread -0.5100%
2Q Spread -1.5100%
2Q Spread -2.5100%
2Q Spread -3.5100%
2Q O/U 6.5100%
2Q O/U 9.5100%
2Q O/U 12.5100%
2Q O/U 15.5100%
3Q Spread -0.5100%
3Q Spread -1.5100%
3Q Spread -2.5100%
3Q O/U 1.5100%
3Q O/U 4.5100%
3Q O/U 7.5100%
3Q O/U 10.5100%
3Q O/U 13.5100%
Raiders 2H O/U 8.5100%
Dolphins 2H O/U 6.5100%
2H Spread -0.5100%
2H Spread -1.5100%
2H Spread -2.5100%
1H Spread -2.5100%
Raiders O/U 15.5100%
Raiders O/U 18.5100%
Raiders O/U 21.5100%
Raiders O/U 24.5100%
Dolphins O/U 12.5100%
1H Spread -1.5100%
Exact Margin: Raiders by 14-20100%
Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q100%
Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q100%
Raiders Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5100%
1H O/U 19.5100%
Spread -5.5100%
Spread -7.5100%
Spread -8.5100%
Spread -9.5100%
Spread -10.5100%
Spread -13.5100%
1H Spread -3.5100%
1H Spread -4.5100%
1H Spread -5.5100%
1H Spread -6.5100%
1H Spread -7.5100%
1H Spread -8.5100%
1H Spread -9.5100%
1H Spread -10.5100%
1Q Spread -6.5100%
1Q Spread -5.5100%
O/U 24.5100%
O/U 26.5100%
O/U 28.5100%
O/U 30.5100%
O/U 32.5100%
O/U 34.5100%
O/U 36.5100%
1H O/U 16.5100%
1H O/U 22.5100%
1Q O/U 5.5100%
1Q O/U 6.5100%
2Q O/U 5.5100%
2Q O/U 7.5100%
2Q O/U 10.5100%
2Q O/U 13.5100%
2Q O/U 14.5100%
3Q O/U 5.5100%
3Q O/U 6.5100%
3Q O/U 14.5100%
Dolphins O/U 10.5100%
Raiders O/U 10.5100%
Raiders O/U 12.5100%
Raiders O/U 13.5100%
Raiders O/U 16.5100%
Raiders O/U 19.5100%
Raiders O/U 20.5100%
Raiders O/U 23.5100%
Raiders O/U 26.5100%
Raiders 1H O/U 6.5100%
Raiders 1H O/U 13.5100%
Raiders 1H O/U 16.5100%
Raiders 2H O/U 6.5100%
Raiders O/U 14.5100%
Raiders O/U 17.5100%
Raiders 1H O/U 11.5100%
Raiders 1H O/U 15.5100%
4Q Moneyline50%
O/U 44.51%
O/U 45.51%
O/U 47.51%
O/U 51.51%
O/U 53.51%
O/U 55.51%
O/U 57.51%
O/U 59.51%
Dolphins vs. Raiders0%
O/U 40.50%
O/U 41.50%
O/U 43.50%
O/U 49.50%
O/U 61.50%
2H Moneyline0%
1Q O/U 7.50%
1Q O/U 10.50%
1Q O/U 13.50%
1Q Moneyline0%
Dolphins 1H O/U 6.50%
Dolphins 1H O/U 8.50%
Dolphins 1H O/U 10.50%
2H O/U 19.50%
2H O/U 22.50%
2H O/U 25.50%
2Q O/U 18.50%
2Q Moneyline0%
3Q Spread -3.50%
3Q Moneyline0%
4Q Spread -0.50%
4Q Spread -1.50%
4Q Spread -2.50%
4Q Spread -3.50%
4Q O/U 4.50%
4Q O/U 7.50%
4Q O/U 10.50%
4Q O/U 13.50%
4Q O/U 16.50%
Raiders 2H O/U 10.50%
Raiders 2H O/U 12.50%
Dolphins 2H O/U 8.50%
Dolphins 2H O/U 10.50%
2H Spread -3.50%
2Q Spread -4.50%
3Q Spread -4.50%
4Q Spread -4.50%
2H Spread -4.50%
1H Moneyline0%
Raiders O/U 27.50%
Dolphins O/U 15.50%
Dolphins O/U 18.50%
Dolphins O/U 21.50%
Dolphins O/U 24.50%
Exact Margin: Dolphins by 25+0%
Exact Margin: Dolphins by 19-240%
Exact Margin: Dolphins by 13-180%
Exact Margin: Dolphins by 7-120%
Exact Margin: Dolphins by 1-60%
Exact Margin: Tie0%
Exact Margin: Raiders by 1-60%
Exact Margin: Raiders by 7-130%
Exact Margin: Raiders by 21+0%
Safety?0%
Team to Record Longest FG0%
Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q0%
Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q0%
Dolphins Total Touchdowns: O/U 1.50%
Dolphins Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.50%
Raiders Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.50%
Dolphins vs. Raiders: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.50%
Dolphins Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.50%
O/U 42.50%
Spread -1.50%
Spread -2.50%
Spread -3.50%
Spread -4.50%
Spread -5.50%
Spread -6.50%
Spread -7.50%
Spread -8.50%
Spread -9.50%
Spread -10.50%
Spread -13.50%
Spread -14.50%
Spread -16.50%
Spread -17.50%
Spread -19.50%
Spread -20.50%
Spread -21.50%
Spread -14.50%
Spread -16.50%
Spread -17.50%
Spread -19.50%
Spread -20.50%
Spread -21.50%
1H Spread -1.50%
1H Spread -2.50%
1H Spread -3.50%
1H Spread -4.50%
1H Spread -5.50%
1H Spread -6.50%
1H Spread -7.50%
1H Spread -8.50%
1H Spread -9.50%
1H Spread -10.50%
1H Spread -13.50%
1H Spread -14.50%
1H Spread -16.50%
1H Spread -17.50%
1H Spread -20.50%
1H Spread -21.50%
1H Spread -13.50%
1H Spread -14.50%
1H Spread -16.50%
1H Spread -17.50%
1H Spread -20.50%
1H Spread -21.50%
2H Spread -1.50%
2H Spread -2.50%
2H Spread -3.50%
2H Spread -4.50%
2H Spread -5.50%
2H Spread -6.50%
2H Spread -7.50%
2H Spread -8.50%
2H Spread -9.50%
2H Spread -10.50%
2H Spread -13.50%
2H Spread -14.50%
2H Spread -16.50%
2H Spread -17.50%
2H Spread -20.50%
2H Spread -21.50%
2H Spread -5.50%
2H Spread -6.50%
2H Spread -7.50%
2H Spread -8.50%
2H Spread -9.50%
2H Spread -10.50%
2H Spread -13.50%
2H Spread -14.50%
2H Spread -16.50%
2H Spread -17.50%
2H Spread -20.50%
2H Spread -21.50%
1Q Spread -2.50%
1Q Spread -3.50%
1Q Spread -4.50%
1Q Spread -6.50%
1Q Spread -7.50%
1Q Spread -9.50%
1Q Spread -10.50%
1Q Spread -13.50%
1Q Spread -14.50%
1Q Spread -7.50%
1Q Spread -9.50%
1Q Spread -10.50%
1Q Spread -13.50%
1Q Spread -14.50%
2Q Spread -2.50%
2Q Spread -3.50%
2Q Spread -4.50%
2Q Spread -6.50%
2Q Spread -7.50%
2Q Spread -9.50%
2Q Spread -10.50%
2Q Spread -13.50%
2Q Spread -14.50%
2Q Spread -6.50%
2Q Spread -7.50%
2Q Spread -9.50%
2Q Spread -10.50%
2Q Spread -13.50%
2Q Spread -14.50%
3Q Spread -2.50%
3Q Spread -3.50%
3Q Spread -4.50%
3Q Spread -6.50%
3Q Spread -7.50%
3Q Spread -9.50%
3Q Spread -10.50%
3Q Spread -13.50%
3Q Spread -14.50%
3Q Spread -6.50%
3Q Spread -7.50%
3Q Spread -9.50%
3Q Spread -10.50%
3Q Spread -13.50%
3Q Spread -14.50%
4Q Spread -2.50%
4Q Spread -3.50%
4Q Spread -4.50%
4Q Spread -6.50%
4Q Spread -7.50%
4Q Spread -9.50%
4Q Spread -10.50%
4Q Spread -13.50%
4Q Spread -14.50%
4Q Spread -6.50%
4Q Spread -7.50%
4Q Spread -9.50%
4Q Spread -10.50%
4Q Spread -13.50%
4Q Spread -14.50%
1Q Spread -8.50%
2Q Spread -5.50%
2Q Spread -8.50%
3Q Spread -5.50%
3Q Spread -8.50%
4Q Spread -5.50%
4Q Spread -8.50%
O/U 46.50%
O/U 48.50%
O/U 50.50%
O/U 52.50%
O/U 54.50%
O/U 56.50%
O/U 58.50%
O/U 60.50%
O/U 62.50%
O/U 64.50%
1H O/U 25.50%
1H O/U 28.50%
2H O/U 28.50%
1Q O/U 14.50%
4Q O/U 5.50%
4Q O/U 6.50%
4Q O/U 14.50%
Dolphins O/U 13.50%
Dolphins O/U 16.50%
Dolphins O/U 19.50%
Dolphins O/U 20.50%
Dolphins O/U 23.50%
Dolphins O/U 26.50%
Dolphins O/U 27.50%
Dolphins O/U 30.50%
Dolphins O/U 34.50%
Raiders O/U 30.50%
Raiders O/U 34.50%
Dolphins 1H O/U 12.50%
Dolphins 1H O/U 13.50%
Dolphins 1H O/U 16.50%
Dolphins 1H O/U 17.50%
Dolphins 1H O/U 19.50%
Dolphins 1H O/U 20.50%
Raiders 1H O/U 17.50%
Raiders 1H O/U 19.50%
Raiders 1H O/U 20.50%
Dolphins 2H O/U 12.50%
Dolphins 2H O/U 13.50%
Dolphins 2H O/U 16.50%
Dolphins 2H O/U 17.50%
Dolphins 2H O/U 19.50%
Dolphins 2H O/U 20.50%
Raiders 2H O/U 13.50%
Raiders 2H O/U 16.50%
Raiders 2H O/U 17.50%
Raiders 2H O/U 19.50%
Raiders 2H O/U 20.50%
Dolphins O/U 14.50%
Dolphins O/U 17.50%
Dolphins 1H O/U 11.50%
Dolphins 1H O/U 15.50%
Raiders 2H O/U 11.50%
Raiders 2H O/U 15.50%
Dolphins 2H O/U 11.50%
Dolphins 2H O/U 15.50%

Market context

Dolphins vs. Raiders. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 0% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-09-13T20:25:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.

Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.

Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Spread -1.5 at 100% for "Dolphins vs. Raiders".

Spread -1.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $1.4M.

Methodology

This overview of Dolphins vs. Raiders reviews the four comparable platforms from a regulatory perspective: which is accessible in your jurisdiction, where KYC kicks in, how the platform is classified by your country of residence. Live probability is the Polymarket mid; comparison columns show regulatory status, KYC thresholds and settlement options for each platform.

Resolution & payout

On Polymarket, resolution runs on-chain via UMA Optimistic Oracle. USDC payout is instant and automatic, with no KYC. Tax treatment depends on your jurisdiction — in the US, gains are usually ordinary income; in the UK, often capital gains. Consult a tax professional for your situation.

FAQ

Do I need to KYC for Is Kalshi Legal in California?
Not for lifetime trading volume under $1,500. Above that threshold, a quick KYC flow kicks in — ID, selfie, approximately 5-10 minutes. The threshold matches FATF travel standards for unregulated crypto platforms.
How are winnings taxed?
Tax treatment varies by jurisdiction. In most countries, prediction market gains are treated as ordinary income or capital gains. We cannot provide tax advice — consult a tax professional for your specific situation.
Can I trade anonymously?
Pseudonymously, yes — up to the KYC threshold. Is Kalshi Legal in California stores an email address and wallet addresses rather than a legal name. Over $1,500 lifetime volume triggers KYC, after which identity is no longer anonymous.
Are prediction markets gambling?
Legally unclear in most jurisdictions. Some interpretations classify them as wagering (gambling regulation applies), others as derivatives (financial regulation applies). There's no global precedent specifically for on-chain prediction markets.
What if regulation changes?
If regulation changes in your jurisdiction (e.g. prediction markets are banned), Is Kalshi Legal in California would geo-block the affected region and continue processing withdrawals. Your funds remain withdrawable at any time.
and

Trade Dolphins vs. Raiders on Is Kalshi Legal in California

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

Open live market →

Related Topics

Sports NFL Prediction Markets